Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8467

Bill Overview

Title: Protecting and Preserving Social Security Act

Description: This bill revises methods for calculating various aspects of Social Security benefits, eliminates the cap on compensation subject to Social Security taxes, and extends eligibility for Social Security benefits during the month of a beneficiary's death.

Sponsors: Rep. Deutch, Theodore E. [D-FL-22]

Target Audience

Population: People worldwide who are beneficiaries or contributors to social security programs

Estimated Size: 215000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

retired teacher (Florida)

Age: 70 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The change in benefit calculations could provide me with a slight increase in monthly income, which is helpful.
  • The policy seems to be addressing the growing needs of retirees, but I hope it doesn't lead to larger tax burdens for the working population.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 9 6

software engineer (New York)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As someone who earns above the current tax cap, the removal of this cap will mean more taxes, but if it ensures Social Security stability, it could be worth it.
  • I hope these changes actually reflect in improved benefits when I retire.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

part-time accountant (Texas)

Age: 62 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy might mean a little more support which could ease my financial planning for retirement.
  • I'm glad to see steps taken to ensure that Social Security continues for future generations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 4

small business owner (California)

Age: 45 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I can see how removing the tax cap might affect my business expenses.
  • There's some concern about how this will impact business planning and hiring in the short term.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 6 4

retired nurse (Michigan)

Age: 80 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any improvement in Social Security benefits will help me manage my expenses better.
  • Many of us elderly rely heavily on these benefits, and any initiative to enhance them is much needed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 3
Year 2 5 3
Year 3 5 3
Year 5 5 3
Year 10 6 3
Year 20 7 3

server (Colorado)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Knowing my contributions may lead to better payouts in the future is somewhat reassuring.
  • Concerned about how these changes might affect my take-home pay.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 7 6

manufacturing worker (Ohio)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm hoping the policy will stabilize and even potentially increase my future Social Security benefits.
  • It feels important for future security, though I wonder about immediate impacts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 6 3
Year 20 6 3

plumber (Illinois)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I mostly see this as a change for my future Social Security benefits, which I'm okay with.
  • The removal of the tax cap seems important for the program’s sustainability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

graphic designer (Oregon)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My concern is more short-term due to higher taxes, but long-term gains are welcome.
  • I support measures that maintain a functional safety net.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

retired engineer (Pennsylvania)

Age: 65 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Happy to see steps taken to potentially increase or secure benefits for my generation.
  • Longer-term impacts on my grandchildren's benefits are even more important.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000000 (Low: $4500000000, High: $6000000000)

Year 2: $5100000000 (Low: $4600000000, High: $6100000000)

Year 3: $5200000000 (Low: $4700000000, High: $6200000000)

Year 5: $5400000000 (Low: $4900000000, High: $6400000000)

Year 10: $5800000000 (Low: $5300000000, High: $6800000000)

Year 100: $10000000000 (Low: $9500000000, High: $10500000000)

Key Considerations