Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8457

Bill Overview

Title: Making College More Affordable Act

Description: This bill creates federal interest-free education loans for undergraduate students. The loans must generally have the same terms and conditions and benefits to borrowers as Federal Direct Stafford Loans. Interest on these loans may only accrue during periods when a borrower is earning taxable income, is in repayment on such loans, and is not making payments under a repayment plan. The Department of Education (ED) must carry out a repayment plan program for the interest-free loans under which loan payments are automatically withheld from the wages of the borrower. ED must cancel any outstanding balance of principal or interest due on those interest-free loans made to a borrower who has made 360 monthly payments. The bill also allows for a tax deduction for amounts paid on these loans.

Sponsors: Rep. Cicilline, David N. [D-RI-1]

Target Audience

Population: individuals seeking tertiary education loans globally

Estimated Size: 12000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Undergraduate Student (Chicago, IL)

Age: 19 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy sounds like it could really help my family and me manage college costs without worrying about interest piling up.
  • The interest-free part is what makes it different and more beneficial than other loans.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Undergraduate Student (Austin, TX)

Age: 22 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I like the idea of loans being interest-free while I'm still in school and not making much money.
  • Automatic withholding could be convenient but also concerning if low pay makes it hard to cover essentials.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Parent of College Student (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could relieve much of the financial worry I have about my child's education costs.
  • I'm relieved my child won’t be buried in interest and debt when they graduate.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 7

Graduate Student (Seattle, WA)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I just finished my undergrad study with a lot of loans, this doesn't affect me directly but could help future students.
  • Interest-free loans would have been amazing during my time in college.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Private Loan Officer (New York, NY)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Federal interest-free loans could reduce demand for the private loans I offer.
  • The banking sector might witness a decline in business as federal options become more advantageous.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

University Financial Aid Officer (Boston, MA)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy would require changes to our counseling and advice for students.
  • It could simplify loan counseling by offering a potentially more beneficial option for students.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Undergraduate Student (Miami, FL)

Age: 21 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Interest-free loans sound great, but I'm concerned about automatic deductions and how they might affect my budget later.
  • I’ll graduate with less debt but depend on how swiftly I can repay.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 7 6

High School Senior (Philadelphia, PA)

Age: 18 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Knowing these loans are interest-free makes college seem more accessible financially.
  • This policy makes deciding to go out of state for college less scary because of lesser debt.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Tech Start-Up Entrepreneur (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't see how this policy would affect someone like me personally.
  • From a business perspective, it might influence company hiring practices if graduates have less financial stress.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Recent Graduate and Job Seeker (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If these loans were available earlier, I would have had less stress about interest accumulation while studying.
  • Going forward, knowing newer students won't face high debt accumulation is positive.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $12000000000 (Low: $10000000000, High: $14000000000)

Year 2: $12240000000 (Low: $10200000000, High: $14420000000)

Year 3: $12484800000 (Low: $10404000000, High: $14852600000)

Year 5: $12984819200 (Low: $10816080000, High: $15860704000)

Year 10: $14203849530 (Low: $11854488000, High: $17938856920)

Year 100: $28407699060 (Low: $23708976000, High: $35877713840)

Key Considerations