Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8441

Bill Overview

Title: No Federal Tax Dollars for Illegal Aliens Health Insurance Act of 2022

Description: This bill prohibits states from using certain federal funds provided to subsidize health insurance to offset the cost of health insurance coverage (including through premium or cost-sharing reductions) or provide any other benefit to undocumented immigrants.

Sponsors: Rep. Buck, Ken [R-CO-4]

Target Audience

Population: Undocumented immigrants and related stakeholder populations

Estimated Size: 12000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Undocumented farmworker (California)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about losing access to affordable healthcare. Without insurance, I won't be able to afford doctor visits or medication.
  • If this policy comes through, I might have to rely on emergency services for health issues, which is stressful.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 3 5
Year 10 3 5
Year 20 2 5

Construction worker (Texas)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Losing health insurance support means more out-of-pocket expenses, which I can't afford.
  • This policy might force me to work through pain without medical help, affecting my productivity and income.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 3 6
Year 20 3 5

Undocumented domestic worker (New York)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm fearful about having to choose between healthcare and sending money back to my family.
  • If I can't afford insurance, small health issues could become major crises.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 6
Year 2 3 6
Year 3 3 6
Year 5 3 6
Year 10 2 6
Year 20 2 6

Undocumented gardener (Florida)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy makes it hard for me to plan financially for healthcare.
  • Without assistance, I'll need to divert funds from my children’s education to health expenses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 5 6

Undocumented housekeeper (Illinois)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I rely on affordable healthcare to manage my conditions and maintain work.
  • I'm worried about the lack of preventive care due to the policy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 5
Year 2 3 5
Year 3 3 5
Year 5 2 5
Year 10 2 5
Year 20 1 5

Undocumented cook (Arizona)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Affording healthcare for my family is hard enough, without subsidies it feels impossible.
  • The policy creates more uncertainty in my already unstable situation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 6
Year 2 3 6
Year 3 3 7
Year 5 3 6
Year 10 3 6
Year 20 3 6

Undocumented hotel staff (Nevada)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I might not able to cover unforeseen health expenses without insurance aid.
  • The policy impacts not just me but my family overseas reliant on my earnings.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 3 5
Year 5 3 5
Year 10 3 5
Year 20 3 5

Landscaper (Georgia)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Losing healthcare subsidies is a blow but not surprising. We are used to managing without insurance.
  • I'm concerned about injury at work without insurance safety net.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 4 7
Year 20 4 6

Undocumented factory worker (California)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Healthcare costs might become too much without help. It's a big concern for my family.
  • This might mean more financial instability if illness strikes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 6
Year 2 3 6
Year 3 3 7
Year 5 3 7
Year 10 3 6
Year 20 2 6

Undocumented nanny (North Carolina)

Age: 26 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Losing access to affordable healthcare makes it harder to stay healthy and work.
  • The constant worry about health emergencies is tough without insurance.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 3 6
Year 20 3 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $15000000)

Year 2: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $10000000)

Year 3: $3000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $7000000)

Year 5: $2000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $5000000)

Year 10: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $3000000)

Year 100: $500000 (Low: $200000, High: $2000000)

Key Considerations