Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8433

Bill Overview

Title: Renewing Immigration Provisions of the Immigration Act of 1929

Description: This bill expands eligibility for a program that authorizes the Department of Homeland Security to, at its discretion, provide lawful permanent resident status to certain long-term residents of the United States, including individuals who are unlawfully present. Currently, this program, sometimes referred to as the Registry program, is only available to eligible non-U.S. nationals ( aliens under federal law) who entered the United States before January 1, 1972. The bill removes this entry cutoff date and opens up the program to eligible individuals who have resided in the United States for at least seven years. Existing requirements (e.g., the individual must not be inadmissible or deportable due to certain grounds related to crime or terrorism) continue to apply.

Sponsors: Rep. Lofgren, Zoe [D-CA-19]

Target Audience

Population: Long-term residents of the United States without lawful permanent resident status

Estimated Size: 11000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Domestic worker (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I have been living in fear of deportation and unable to access benefits due to my status.
  • Gaining permanent residency would mean stability for my children and me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Construction worker (Houston, TX)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Legal status would allow me to work legally and better support my family.
  • I could invest in our future without constantly worrying about deportation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 10 6
Year 20 9 6

Restaurant server (New York City, NY)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 20/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Being able to stay without fear would allow me to pursue better jobs and education.
  • I want to contribute more fully to society here, but my status holds me back.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 8 4

Small business owner (Chicago, IL)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm contributing to the local economy and employ several people; legal status would remove uncertainties.
  • The policy would validate everything I've built here.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 10 7

Student (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 23 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy would mean I can remain in the U.S. for my career without issues.
  • Would provide peace of mind and allow me to plan long-term.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Caretaker (Miami, FL)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Gaining legal residency would be a relief at my age.
  • I want to enjoy my life without worrying about my past.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

IT Specialist (Seattle, WA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Permanent residency would allow me to invest more in my professional development.
  • I could take full advantage of job opportunities without restrictions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Cook (New Orleans, LA)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I can seek medical care without fear with legal status.
  • This would reduce my stress levels significantly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Retired (Denver, CO)

Age: 62 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Permanent residency would connect me closer to my family here.
  • I could consider protected retirement options.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Entrepreneur (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm already thriving; legal residency would enhance my ability to expand my business.
  • Would solidify my sense of belonging in the U.S.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $500000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $600000000)

Year 2: $520000000 (Low: $416000000, High: $624000000)

Year 3: $540800000 (Low: $432640000, High: $648960000)

Year 5: $583200000 (Low: $466560000, High: $699840000)

Year 10: $673876480 (Low: $539101184, High: $808651776)

Year 100: $673876480 (Low: $539101184, High: $808651776)

Key Considerations