Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8427

Bill Overview

Title: Tipped Worker Protection Act

Description: This bill increases the minimum wage for tipped employees over a phase-in period and provides a process for employers to pool and distribute tips.

Sponsors: Rep. Hayes, Jahana [D-CT-5]

Target Audience

Population: Tipped workers

Estimated Size: 4300000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Server (New York, NY)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm really hoping this bill passes because, with rent and everything going up, I need any extra I can get.
  • I'm worried about how the management will implement the new tip pooling. Will it be fair?

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Bartender (Dallas, TX)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a step in the right direction, but I'm wary of how my bar will actually handle the tip changes.
  • Having a minimum wage I can count on is great, even if it takes a few years to phase in.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 6

Barista (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The cost of living here is insane, so anything helps.
  • I hope the transition won't lead to big price hikes at the cafĂ©.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Hairdresser (Chicago, IL)

Age: 41 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Seems like good news, though it's the salons in fancier areas that might resist changes.
  • I welcome a dependable base wage while I try to expand my soap business.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Hotel Housekeeper (Miami, FL)

Age: 56 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Honestly, I don't believe this will change much for us housekeepers.
  • If implemented, it could help younger tipped staff more than me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Busser (Seattle, WA)

Age: 19 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's my first job, so any extra helps.
  • My parents think this will mean fewer customers if prices go up.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Casino Waitress (Las Vegas, NV)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My situation might not change, but newer staff could benefit from the safety net.
  • We'll have to see how the pooling affects us since our tips are currently good.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Caterer (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might not directly affect me since I'm freelance, but there might be ripple effects.
  • Overall, higher wages are good for the economy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Nail Technician (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 26 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased wages can mean my boss has less room for hiring freezes, which might stabilize my hours.
  • I hope it won't hurt our salon's pricing.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Taxi Driver (Boston, MA)

Age: 63 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy won't directly affect me, but I support fair wages for younger generations.
  • With rent increasing, everyone needs more assurance in their paycheck.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $800000000 (Low: $600000000, High: $1000000000)

Year 2: $900000000 (Low: $700000000, High: $1100000000)

Year 3: $1000000000 (Low: $800000000, High: $1200000000)

Year 5: $1200000000 (Low: $1000000000, High: $1400000000)

Year 10: $1500000000 (Low: $1300000000, High: $1700000000)

Year 100: $2000000000 (Low: $1800000000, High: $2200000000)

Key Considerations