Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8423

Bill Overview

Title: Bicycles for Rural African Transport Act

Description: The bill requires the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) to establish a program to provide bicycles in rural communities in sub-Saharan Africa.  The program must focus on providing bicycles to rural communities to promote access to education, health care, and livelihood opportunities.

Sponsors: Rep. Blumenauer, Earl [D-OR-3]

Target Audience

Population: Rural sub-Saharan African individuals

Estimated Size: 1000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

USAID Program Manager (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe this policy will allow us to make a real difference in rural Africa.
  • Managing this project gives me a sense of purpose and satisfaction in my work.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

Bicycle Manufacturer CEO (Chicago, Illinois)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This program is a fantastic opportunity for us to expand our operations.
  • More orders mean more jobs locally, and that's great for everyone involved.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 6

Non-Profit Employee (San Francisco, California)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While the policy is largely beneficial abroad, it strengthens our partnership with USAID and expands our impact.
  • I feel excited about working on something with tangible outcomes abroad.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Government Contractor (Dallas, Texas)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any new contract opportunities like this are good for business, but competition is tough.
  • I am hopeful that the project will increase work stability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Research Analyst (New York, New York)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is an interesting policy to analyze, particularly in terms of long-term impacts.
  • I feel engaged and motivated with work, as it relates to my interests.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Senior Executive at a Transportation NGO (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The plan aligns with our goals, creating potential new opportunities for collaboration.
  • I feel optimistic about the enhancements to rural mobility this could bring.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Donor Relations Manager (Houston, Texas)

Age: 54 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy increases donor interest and engagement, which is a positive.
  • More programs like this help us reach more communities in need.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Public Health Researcher (Boston, Massachusetts)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Exciting policy with potential positive health impacts in rural Africa.
  • I am keen on studying the outcomes and reporting on its effectiveness.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Bicycle Advocacy Group Member (San Diego, California)

Age: 39 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I commend the focus on bicycles as a means to improve livelihoods in Africa.
  • It's aligned with our advocacy for sustainable transport solutions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Economic Policy Advisor (Detroit, Michigan)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any program led by USAID boosts confidence in international partnerships and future endeavors.
  • Locally, it's more about the ripple effects in employment and economic activity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $45000000, High: $55000000)

Year 2: $55000000 (Low: $49500000, High: $60500000)

Year 3: $60000000 (Low: $54000000, High: $66000000)

Year 5: $70000000 (Low: $63000000, High: $77000000)

Year 10: $90000000 (Low: $81000000, High: $99000000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations