Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8396

Bill Overview

Title: Loving v. Virginia Codification Act of 2022

Description: This bill provides statutory authority for interracial marriages. Specifically, the bill prohibits any state from enacting a law or regulation that infringes on the right to marry or not marry a person of another race. (The Supreme Court held that state laws barring interracial marriages were unconstitutional in Loving v. Virginia in 1967.) The bill allows the Department of Justice to bring a civil action for violations. It also establishes a private right of action through Section 1983 lawsuits (Section 1983 is a federal statute that allows individuals to sue state or local government actors for violations of constitutional rights).

Sponsors: Rep. Ocasio-Cortez, Alexandria [D-NY-14]

Target Audience

Population: Interracial couples and those intending to marry interracially

Estimated Size: 32400000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Graphic Designer (New York City, NY)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I feel reassured by this policy. While we haven't faced issues ourselves, knowing there's a legal backing is comforting.
  • I think it's particularly important for raising our kids—knowing their parents' marriage is valid everywhere.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Lawyer (Birmingham, AL)

Age: 43 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy solidifies what should be an unquestionable right. Given some lingering prejudice, having this codified helps.
  • I work in the legal field so I appreciate clear statutory protections.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Tech Entrepreneur (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 37 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Living in a diverse city, we don't worry much about being an interracial couple.
  • However, I've heard stories from friends in less diverse areas, so this policy gives me hope it wouldn't be an issue wherever we go.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Public School Teacher (Dallas, TX)

Age: 50 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having lived in a more conservative area, this gives us a new layer of comfort.
  • I hope it signals the start of more comprehensive anti-discrimination initiatives.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

College Student (Raleigh, NC)

Age: 24 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This bill seems more symbolic since Loving v. Virginia should already cover us.
  • Still, the backup is great because who knows if the social climate shifts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Nurse (Chicago, IL)

Age: 56 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a positive step. If it had been enacted earlier, there may have been less societal resistance in our small town.
  • Better late than never, and it hopefully encourages a healthier dialogue around race.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Software Developer (Portland, OR)

Age: 33 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's reassuring for someone considering marriage. Knowing the legality won't change regardless of national shifts makes committing easier.
  • More than personal, this helps friends and communities that might face these challenges.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Small Business Owner (Miami, FL)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This law is a relief. It gives my kids stronger assurances about their identities and parents' union legitimacy wherever they go.
  • I hope it encourages easier conversations with those less understanding.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

University Student (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 19/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Honestly, in L.A., we rarely think about these issues, but I recognize how important legal clarity is if that changes.
  • It supports peers and family who might need these protections more than I do.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 8

Retired (Buffalo, NY)

Age: 62 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having experienced life pre-Loving v. Virginia, we've come far, but it's reassuring to formalize our rights now.
  • I hope it inspires younger generations to be more open-minded.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $10000000)

Year 2: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $10000000)

Year 3: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $10000000)

Year 5: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $10000000)

Year 10: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $10000000)

Year 100: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $10000000)

Key Considerations