Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8394

Bill Overview

Title: Lawrence v. Texas Codification Act of 2022

Description: This bill provides statutory authority for the right of individuals of the same sex to engage in private, consensual sexual conduct. Specifically, the bill prohibits any state from enacting a law or regulation that infringes on any individual's right to enter into a consensual sexual relationship in the confines of their home and private life, including with respect to individuals of the same sex. (The Supreme Court held that state laws criminalizing private, consensual sexual relationships between individuals of the same sex were unconstitutional in Lawrence v. Texas in 2003.) The bill allows the Department of Justice to bring a civil action for violations. It also establishes a private right of action through Section 1983 lawsuits (Section 1983 is a federal statute that allows individuals to sue state or local government actors for violations of constitutional rights).

Sponsors: Rep. Ocasio-Cortez, Alexandria [D-NY-14]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals who engage in or support the legal right to engage in consensual same-sex sexual conduct

Estimated Size: 12000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Graphic Designer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 25 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy feels empowering because it solidifies legal protections we should have always had.
  • Living in a progressive city, I feel relatively safe, but knowing there's federal backing improves peace of mind.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 5

University Professor (Austin, TX)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This gives us the legal grounding to feel secure about our relationship, irrespective of future political changes.
  • It enables us to focus on our lives and career without the looming dread of potential legal issues.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 8 4

Retired (Topeka, KS)

Age: 65 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I have lived most of my life in fear of being found out, so this policy feels reassuring even in retirement.
  • I worry less about younger generations going through what I did.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 3

Freelance Writer (New York, NY)

Age: 32 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Federal protection provides a sense of validation and safety in identity and expression.
  • New York is progressive, but it's vital to know these rights extend nationwide.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 7 3

Software Engineer (Salt Lake City, UT)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's comforting knowing the legal system acknowledges our right to love, without state's interference.
  • Local attitudes have been changing, but legal support is crucial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 8 4

Store Clerk (Rural Alabama)

Age: 53 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This legal support feels like a distant reality in such a conservative area, but still it offers hope.
  • I'm wary about societal change catching up, but law is a step forward.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 7 3

College Student (Chicago, IL)

Age: 19 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While at college, I feel accepted, but it's essential that rights are protected everywhere for everyone.
  • The policy ensures future career moves aren't hindered by legal concerns.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 6

Psychologist (Miami, FL)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a relief to see more legal support for friends and clients who have undergone discrimination.
  • This strengthens my advocacy efforts and creates broader societal awareness.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Chef (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy reinforces our rights at a fundamental level, helping ensure business or personal discrimination doesn't prevail.
  • It's reassuring for my partner and me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 4

Yoga Instructor (Vermont)

Age: 50 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • In a liberal state, I haven't felt as vulnerable, but this step is vital for comprehensive countrywide acceptance.
  • Legal backing is foundational for broader acceptance.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 2: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 3: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 5: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 10: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 100: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Key Considerations