Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8382

Bill Overview

Title: Migrant Protection Protocols Act of 2022

Description: This bill requires the Department of Justice (DOJ) to remove certain aliens from the United States while such an alien's application for admission is pending. Specifically, if an alien arrived by land from a foreign country bordering the United States and the alien is not clearly and beyond a doubt entitled to admission into the United States, DOJ must return that alien to that bordering foreign country while the alien's application for admission is pending. (Currently, DOJ may choose to detain such an alien or return the alien to the bordering foreign country while the application for admission is pending.)

Sponsors: Rep. Gimenez, Carlos A. [R-FL-26]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals awaiting immigration admission processing at US land borders

Estimated Size: 50000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Immigration Legal Aid Worker (El Paso, TX)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've always believed in helping those who need legal support during tough times.
  • Should this policy pass, it could overwhelm legal support services at the border.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Border Patrol Agent (San Diego, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might increase our responsibilities and make the job more challenging.
  • Dealing with returning migrants to Mexico could add strain to our operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 8 8

Retired Army Officer (Tucson, AZ)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I trust the government to secure our borders effectively.
  • This should deter illegal crossings and bring order to border entries.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

University Student (Nogales, AZ)

Age: 23 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy makes me worry about friends and family who are facing immigration hurdles.
  • It's disheartening to see potential separations increase.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 8

Immigration Lawyer (Houston, TX)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies like this directly affect my clients, often causing stress and fear.
  • This could mean more time needed for each client's case due to added complications.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 7 7

Community Volunteer (Laredo, TX)

Age: 62 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We've long worked to support migrants in our community.
  • The implementation of this policy could see families and individuals in harder situations once returned.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 8

Software Developer (Austin, TX)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I feel lucky to be in a sector that celebrates diversity and inclusion.
  • This policy may limit the talent pool we can hire from, potentially affecting innovation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Rancher (Brownsville, TX)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've seen firsthand the challenges and chaos at the border.
  • This policy could stabilize daily routines on border areas like mine, but at a humanitarian cost.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Elementary School Teacher (San Antonio, TX)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's already tough for kids adjusting to life in the US when policies feel unpredictable.
  • I'm concerned about the stray effect on our school community.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Retired Immigration Officer (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 68 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The system was already burdened before, and this measure could be a pragmatic step given current pressures.
  • Migrants deserve proper processing, but it's imperative to keep systems orderly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $150000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $200000000)

Year 2: $120000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $160000000)

Year 3: $110000000 (Low: $70000000, High: $150000000)

Year 5: $100000000 (Low: $70000000, High: $130000000)

Year 10: $90000000 (Low: $60000000, High: $120000000)

Year 100: $75000000 (Low: $50000000, High: $100000000)

Key Considerations