Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8374

Bill Overview

Title: Shall Not Be Infringed Act

Description: This bill repeals the Bipartisan Safer Communities Act, which was signed into law on June 25, 2022. The act makes various changes to federal firearms laws, including to expand background check requirements, broaden the scope of existing restrictions, and establish new criminal offenses. The act also reauthorizes, funds, and supports various programs, grants, and activities to promote access to behavioral and mental health services, enhance school safety and security initiatives, and address gun violence in communities.

Sponsors: Rep. Boebert, Lauren [R-CO-3]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals impacted by changes to federal firearms regulation, particularly U.S. gun owners and residents in gun-owning households

Estimated Size: 120000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Teacher (Texas)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Concerned about the potential reduction in school safety measures.
  • Believes that students may feel less safe without expanded behavioral health services.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Gun shop owner (Ohio)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Believes the repeal will positively impact his business by easing restrictions on gun purchases.
  • Feels the repeal aligns with his rights under the Second Amendment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Mental health counselor (New York)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Worries that the repeal might reduce funding for vital mental health services.
  • Concerned about the potential increase in gun-related incidents without preventive measures.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 4 6

Retired veteran (Pennsylvania)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Supports the repeal as it reduces government overreach in gun ownership.
  • Feels more secure in his rights to own firearms without added restrictions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

College student (California)

Age: 23 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Feels uneasy about the repeal diminishing campus safety programs.
  • Believes enhanced background checks are necessary for public safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 3 5
Year 20 3 5

Police officer (Florida)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Worried that the repeal might lead to an increase in gun-related crimes.
  • Believes keeping some regulations and safety funding is critical for community safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 5 7

Software developer (Illinois)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Feels neutral; while expanded rights might be favorable, his main concern is maintaining safety.
  • Appreciates the balance of existing checks with personal freedoms.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

School principal (Georgia)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Strongly believes in maintaining a safe environment for students through funded safety programs.
  • Conerned the repeal will undermine efforts to reduce violence in schools.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 4 6

Construction worker (Alabama)

Age: 31 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Supportive of repealing the act for more straightforward gun purchases.
  • Relies on firearm for personal protection and fears restrictions could limit access.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Retired teacher (Michigan)

Age: 62 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Believes that reducing regulations could have negative outcomes on community safety.
  • Supports current safety funding and mental health initiatives.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $500000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $700000000)

Year 2: $500000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $700000000)

Year 3: $500000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $700000000)

Year 5: $500000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $700000000)

Year 10: $500000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $700000000)

Year 100: $500000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $700000000)

Key Considerations