Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8371

Bill Overview

Title: Border Bonds for America Act of 2022

Description: This bill directs the Department of the Treasury to issue up to $5 billion in bonds in a fiscal year, with proceeds going into a trust fund for the construction of reinforced fencing, physical barriers, and related infrastructure for the southwest border with Mexico. Treasury may issue such bonds for 30 years from the bill's enactment date. The bill also authorizes Treasury to accept gifts of money for the same purpose.

Sponsors: Rep. Palazzo, Steven M. [R-MS-4]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals living near or crossing the US-Mexico border

Estimated Size: 10000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Border Patrol Agent (El Paso, Texas)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe in strong border security to ensure safety.
  • Construction of new barriers might aid in more efficient operations at the border.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Small Business Owner (San Diego, California)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The construction might deter some of my regular customers who come from Mexico.
  • I am concerned about the business impact.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Retired Educator (Tucson, Arizona)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about how this affects our immigrant community and their well-being.
  • Fences might hurt relationships with our neighbors.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 4 5

Construction Manager (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might open new job opportunities for me and my team.
  • It helps secure contracts for the company.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 6

Nurse (McAllen, Texas)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased barriers might strain local relationships and limit access to cross-border healthcare for some families.
  • I foresee changes in community health dynamics.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

College Student (Las Cruces, New Mexico)

Age: 21 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am worried about how this will affect my family's ability to visit relatives across the border.
  • The policy seems unnecessary to me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Immigration Lawyer (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe this policy might lead to more human rights issues and less immigration for needy families.
  • It seems like a step back for humanitarian progress.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Retired Border Trader (Brownsville, Texas)

Age: 64 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see potential for disruption in the trading business between the two sides.
  • It feels like it's introducing more division.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 5 7

Teacher (San Antonio, Texas)

Age: 43 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our students from immigrant families may face increased hardships.
  • I fear the policy could stigmatize border communities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Freelance Photographer (Nogales, Arizona)

Age: 26 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy provides a unique subject for my work, but it saddens me to see more barriers.
  • I hope to capture the real impacts on people's lives.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 2: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 3: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 5: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 10: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 100: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Key Considerations