Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8361

Bill Overview

Title: Preventing Suicide Through Voluntary Firearm Purchase Delay Act

Description: This bill directs the Department of Justice to establish and maintain the Voluntary Purchase Delay Database. In particular, the bill (1) allows individuals to voluntarily place their names to (or request removal from) the database established by this bill, and (2) makes it unlawful to sell or otherwise dispose of any firearm or ammunition to individuals listed in this database.

Sponsors: Rep. Jayapal, Pramila [D-WA-7]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals who voluntarily enroll in the firearm purchase delay database

Estimated Size: 500000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

farmer (rural Ohio)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've had my tough days. Knowing I could have a buffer like this makes me feel safer during those down times.
  • I think it’s great to have such a voluntary option available. We should have control over making our environment safer.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 5

software engineer (urban California)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't personally own guns, but I saw what happened when my brother used one in his darkest moment. This act is a necessary option.
  • Such a law could indeed save lives if it means someone might think twice.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 6

teacher (Texas suburbs)

Age: 27 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think it gives people an option to protect themselves when they aren't thinking straight. It's a responsible choice.
  • More awareness around this is helpful. Not everyone will use it, but it could appeal to those who need it most.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 6

psychologist (New York City)

Age: 54 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I fully support any measures that allow individuals to feel more in control of their safety and decision-making.
  • This policy could serve as a crucial intervention at the right moment for some individuals.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 10 9
Year 2 10 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 7

nurse (rural Alabama)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm glad something like this exists. I've seen the aftermath of impulsive actions more than once.
  • This could really help people who know they're at risk handle things proactively.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

retiree (suburban Colorado)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't see the need for myself, but I can understand its intent for others.
  • As long as it's voluntary, I respect individuals making their own choices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

student (college in Florida)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm really supportive of measures that improve mental health proactively, including this law.
  • Even if it doesn't affect me directly, it's an added layer of safety for those moments of crisis.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

factory worker (Detroit)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could be a life-saver for someone in my shoes. Sometimes just having a delay to think might prevent a tragedy.
  • Important that it's voluntary. It empowers people to feel safer without feeling deprived.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

ranch hand (rural Montana)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The thought of a self-imposed delay gives me peace. It's like having a lifeline.
  • Being able to choose this option might save me from a spur-of-the-moment wrong decision.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

freelance artist (Seattle)

Age: 35 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I wish this existed a few years back when I really struggled; there's comfort in knowing I could delay access.
  • This proactive step could really help manage those crisis moments more effectively.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 6 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $12000000)

Year 2: $8000000 (Low: $6000000, High: $10000000)

Year 3: $6000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $8000000)

Year 5: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $7000000)

Year 10: $4500000 (Low: $3500000, High: $6500000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations