Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8355

Bill Overview

Title: Closing Loopholes and Ending Asylum Abuse Act of 2022

Description: This bill imposes restrictions on noncitizens ( aliens under federal law) applying for asylum, authorizes asylum seekers to apply for asylum abroad, and requires applicants to apply abroad in certain instances. For example, the bill requires a refugee's persecution or well-founded fear of persecution to stem from a government (or affiliated entity), whereas currently the persecution does not have to stem from a government. The bill also requires an applicant who passes through another country with a U.S. diplomatic mission that processes asylum claims to apply for asylum while physically in that country.

Sponsors: Rep. Crenshaw, Dan [R-TX-2]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals seeking asylum in the United States.

Estimated Size: 0

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Immigration Lawyer (Texas)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This will greatly complicate asylum seekers' paths, potentially putting many clients at risk if the third country is not safe.
  • My job will become more complex as we navigate these new procedural challenges.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Tech Worker (California)

Age: 25 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think safe screening for asylum claims is important, but the bill may discourage legitimate asylum seekers from attempting to come here.
  • I'm supportive of policies that ensure fairness in the system.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Human Rights Activist (New York)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could create unsafe conditions for migrants in transit countries which often lack stable human rights records.
  • It could significantly reduce the ability of individuals to seek asylum based on non-state persecution.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 4 7
Year 20 4 7

Border Patrol Agent (Arizona)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The bill may reduce border influx allowing us to focus more on security threats.
  • Documentation following implementation will help, but it feels like a short-term solution.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Asylum Seeker (Florida)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am scared for others who have to apply abroad, especially if passing through dangerous regions.
  • I hope my status can be resolved before these changes complicate things further.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 4
Year 2 3 5
Year 3 3 5
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 6 7

Policy Analyst (Washington D.C.)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might prevent fraudulent claims but at a high humanitarian cost.
  • Policies must strike a balance between security and compassion.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Social Worker (Illinois)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Lesser pathways for asylum could break family units trying to reunite in the U.S.
  • Social services will ultimately need to adjust but may face increased pressure under these new constraints.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

College Professor (Minnesota)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy presents new challenges for jurisprudence in immigration law, which my students and I will follow closely.
  • Over-restriction could backfire, increasing illegal crossings instead of formal applications.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Retired Refugee Assistance Volunteer (Texas)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Efforts for organized asylum processes are worthy, but this policy seems too restrictive and less humanitarian.
  • The implications for those stranded abroad are concerning.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

Religious Leader (Georgia)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy shifts the burden onto countries that might not have robust support for asylum seekers, which worries me for our congregation's relatives.
  • We need to understand these changes fast to support our community.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $35000000, High: $75000000)

Year 2: $55000000 (Low: $40000000, High: $80000000)

Year 3: $60500000 (Low: $44000000, High: $85000000)

Year 5: $66550000 (Low: $48400000, High: $93500000)

Year 10: $83893500 (Low: $61008000, High: $117010500)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations