Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8351

Bill Overview

Title: Formula Act

Description: This bill provides through December 31, 2022, duty-free treatment to infant formula. During this time period, articles of infant formula shall not be subject to (1) any additional safeguard duties that may be imposed under subchapter IV of chapter 99 of the Harmonized Tariff Schedule; or (2) any other import quotas, tariff-rate quotas, additional duties, or any other duties, fees, exactions, or charges that otherwise would apply to such articles. Importers shall provide the applicable and anticipated tariff classifications for articles of infant formula on applicable customs entry documents.

Sponsors: Rep. Blumenauer, Earl [D-OR-3]

Target Audience

Population: People globally who rely on infant formula for feeding infants

Estimated Size: 4000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Nurse (Brooklyn, NY)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I always look for cheaper brands of formula because it adds up every month.
  • If formula gets cheaper, it would really help with my monthly budget.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

IT Specialist (Austin, TX)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.5 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't mind paying for quality products, including baby formula.
  • If prices drop, that's good, but it's not critical for us.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Homemaker (Rural, IA)

Age: 41 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's always been tough managing groceries, and formula is a big part of that.
  • Any savings we can get on formula is a blessing.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 5 4

Entrepreneur (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policy could impact my costs and margins, which could be beneficial.
  • It could lower my prices and attract more customers, but competition might also increase.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Teacher (Miami, FL)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The cost of formula for twins is a real challenge.
  • If prices lower, it would greatly help with our finances right now.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Logistics Manager (Chicago, IL)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 20/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could adjust work dynamics due to import changes, but not my personal life directly.
  • It's intriguing to see how policy shapes market flavors.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Pharmacist (Denver, CO)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • There might be shifts in what brands customers prefer due to price.
  • I could give better advice to moms looking to save money.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Sales Assistant (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 24 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 1.5 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about being able to afford everything my child will need, like formula.
  • If there's a chance to buy it cheaper, it'd be a big relief.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 5 4

Accountant (Nashville, TN)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Anything that helps keep the imported formula price stable or low is beneficial.
  • I'm always monitoring the formula cost fluctuations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Marketing Executive (Seattle, WA)

Age: 36 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think the policy is interesting from a business standpoint, but doesn't affect me directly.
  • I understand how families might appreciate reduced costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 2: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations