Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8348

Bill Overview

Title: United States NATO Force Deployment Policy Act of 2022

Description: This bill states that it is U.S. policy that the NATO-Russia Founding Act, signed in 1997, does not constrain the deployment of U.S. or NATO forces in any way.

Sponsors: Rep. Bacon, Don [R-NE-2]

Target Audience

Population: People under potential impact of changes to NATO force deployments

Estimated Size: 12000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Army Officer (Virginia)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy may lead to more frequent deployments, which is challenging for family life.
  • There's always a tension between duty and being away from family for extended periods.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 6

Military Spouse (California)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Frequent deployments and relocations disrupt family stability.
  • I worry about the effects on our children's education and stability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 4
Year 2 3 4
Year 3 3 5
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 6 5

Defense Contractor (Texas)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could increase my workload, but it also stabilizes job security.
  • It may have budget implications but beneficial for business.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Air Force Pilot (North Carolina)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More deployments could enhance my career, but I enjoy being stateside due to family connections.
  • There is a sense of duty, but personal life might take a hit in terms of social relationships.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 6 7

Teacher (Illinois)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am indirectly affected as I see the stress in students from military families facing frequent relocations.
  • The policy is beyond my direct control, but community impacts concern me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Retired Military (Florida)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe supporting NATO with flexible force deployment is critical for global stability.
  • As a retiree, I'm less affected personally, but I view the policy as strategically necessary.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Social Worker (New York)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More deployments mean more strain on families and potential mental health issues.
  • I see the fallout from policies that increase deployment stress on families.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 7

Veteran Affairs Officer (Georgia)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies affecting deployment don't impact me directly now, but they shape future veteran needs.
  • Maintaining a robust presence with allies is key, but it comes at a potential personal and economic cost.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Public Policy Analyst (Washington)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy reflects strategic flexibility which I see as positive for international security.
  • I don't expect any personal impact, but its implications are broader, affecting defense strategy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Student (Colorado)

Age: 25 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm aware of the strategic importance, but worry about my cousins' deployments and its effects on their family.
  • This amplifies existing stress due to potential increased deployments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $450000000 (Low: $350000000, High: $550000000)

Year 2: $470000000 (Low: $360000000, High: $570000000)

Year 3: $490000000 (Low: $370000000, High: $590000000)

Year 5: $510000000 (Low: $390000000, High: $630000000)

Year 10: $540000000 (Low: $410000000, High: $670000000)

Year 100: $1000000000 (Low: $750000000, High: $1250000000)

Key Considerations