Bill Overview
Title: To modify the annual report on military and security developments involving the Russian Federation.
Description: This bill requires the Department of Defense to include in an annual report to Congress information pertaining to Russian private military companies, including how such military companies are being used to advance Russia's political, economic, and military interests.
Sponsors: Rep. Pfluger, August [R-TX-11]
Target Audience
Population: People involved or interested in the military and security sectors
Estimated Size: 15000
- The bill involves reporting on Russian private military companies, suggesting that people working in these firms may be indirectly impacted by changes in US military and security strategy.
- US policymakers and defense personnel involved in analyzing or responding to Russian military strategies are directly impacted by the information in the annual report.
- The Russian Federation's military personnel and associated contractors might experience indirect effects based on US defense responses.
- Individuals and entities interested in geopolitical security, such as analysts and advisors around the world, will find interest in the report's content.
Reasoning
- The policy primarily affects a niche group interested in defense and geopolitical issues. Therefore, our interviews focus on such individuals.
- Given the policy's focus, the impact will likely be concentrated among defense analysts, contractors, and policymakers.
- The stated budget suggests a cost-effective approach, limiting extensive efforts to only required personnel and those directly involved in policy adaptation.
Simulated Interviews
Defense Analyst (Washington, D.C.)
Age: 45 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This policy provides critical information that helps in analyzing Russia's strategic movements.
- Understanding private military companies helps project future geopolitical trends.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 7 |
Congressional Staff (New York)
Age: 39 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 20.0 years
Commonness: 3/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Access to the reports will help us craft more informed defense policies.
- The bill helps ensure oversight on foreign private military activities.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 6 |
Military Contractor (Texas)
Age: 50 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 8/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Having detailed information on Russian private companies will aid in planning and risk assessment.
- The value of these reports is strategic for operational safety.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 6 |
Department of Defense Analyst (Virginia)
Age: 34 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This report will enhance our analytical capabilities regarding Russian military strategies.
- It's a crucial tool for maintaining global security awareness.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 7 |
Graduate Student in International Relations (California)
Age: 29 | Gender: other
Wellbeing Before Policy: 5
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 12/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This bill resources my field of study with valuable, current data.
- Supports the evolution of academic research on geopolitical strategies.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 5 | 5 |
Retired Military Officer (Florida)
Age: 55 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 10/20
Statement of Opinion:
- With this new policy, I feel that national security strategy will be more informed.
- It’s a relief to see steps taken towards proactive intelligence measures.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 6 |
Journalist (Illinois)
Age: 41 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 6/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Access to this report would expand the breadth of my reporting.
- It could provide insights that are crucial for accurate journalism.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 6 |
Public Policy Professor (Georgia)
Age: 60 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 5
Duration of Impact: 15.0 years
Commonness: 8/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This policy provides teaching material on contemporary Russian military tactics.
- Essential for educating future policymakers with current events.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 5 | 5 |
NGO Worker in International Peace (Massachusetts)
Age: 47 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 5
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Knowledge from this report can aid in peace-building strategies.
- It’s crucial to understand military tactics to better promote peace solutions.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 6 |
Private International Military Consultant (Colorado)
Age: 52 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This enhances my ability to provide better-informed security advice.
- Clients will benefit from a deeper understanding of Russian activities.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 7 |
Cost Estimates
Year 1: $250000 (Low: $200000, High: $300000)
Year 2: $250000 (Low: $200000, High: $300000)
Year 3: $250000 (Low: $200000, High: $300000)
Year 5: $250000 (Low: $200000, High: $300000)
Year 10: $250000 (Low: $200000, High: $300000)
Year 100: $250000 (Low: $200000, High: $300000)
Key Considerations
- The primary cost driver remains the collection and analysis of additional intelligence on Russian private military companies.
- Potential adjustments in staffing within the Department of Defense to manage this report.
- The increase in detail around Russian activities could influence U.S. foreign policy stance which might have broader fiscal implications.