Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8319

Bill Overview

Title: Protecting Public Safety Employees' Timely Retirement Act of 2022

Description: This bill modifies the eligible age (age 50) for the exemption from the retirement plan early withdrawal penalty for public safety officers. The bill establishes the age eligibility at age 50 or 25 years of service under the plan, whichever is earlier.

Sponsors: Rep. Thompson, Mike [D-CA-5]

Target Audience

Population: Public safety officers

Estimated Size: 2100000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Police Officer (New York)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is a godsend.
  • I was thinking of retiring a while ago but didn't due to the penalties.
  • Now, I can feasibly retire and work on some personal projects.
  • Financially, it lifts a huge burden.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 5

Firefighter (California)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't see an immediate impact on me.
  • Still, it's nice to know options for early retirement are getting better.
  • My focus right now is carrying on with my career.
  • Future options make long-term planning seem more flexible.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

EMS Personnel (Texas)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's good to know this will be available in the future.
  • I'm more focused on day-to-day but knowing there's less penalty in older age is comforting.
  • I'd still need to see how the numbers line up after 25 years.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Police Officer (Florida)

Age: 49 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I’ve considered early retirement but was wary due to penalties.
  • This policy completely shifts my perspective and makes retirement soon much more viable.
  • Less stress overall knowing the financial aftermath is managed better.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 5

Firefighter (Illinois)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Already retired but I think it's great for those younger than me.
  • Could have given me more flexibility if it existed when I was eligible.
  • Still, I'm settled and content; would likely see this as a good step nonetheless.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

EMS Personnel (Ohio)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Seems like a smart step for colleagues who have been around longer.
  • Personally, I’m more interested in how my career will progress.
  • Still comforting knowing options will be more available in the future.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 8 7

Firefighter (North Carolina)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Was on the fence about retiring due to penalties.
  • This policy being passed finally turns the balance in favor of retiring.
  • It promotes a sense of flexibility and produced aligning retirement with personal well-being.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Police Officer (Michigan)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Seeing this as a future benefit, though I’m not immediately affected.
  • There’s assurance knowing I may not have to stick it out past 25 years if circumstances change.
  • Overall, it's a good financial safety net for us.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Firefighter (Georgia)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Retired already, this would not have influenced my decision.
  • I think it’s good to make life easier for those in service now.
  • The difference it makes is most notable for those right at the cusp of early retirement.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

EMS Personnel (Washington)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I wasn’t planning to leave before 25 years initially due to penalties.
  • Now, I’m able to consider new opportunities post-service thanks to this new setup.
  • Significantly improves financial security.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $200000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $250000000)

Year 2: $205000000 (Low: $155000000, High: $255000000)

Year 3: $210000000 (Low: $160000000, High: $260000000)

Year 5: $220000000 (Low: $170000000, High: $270000000)

Year 10: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 100: $500000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $600000000)

Key Considerations