Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8298

Bill Overview

Title: Junior Reserve Officers’ Training Corps Expansion Act of 2022

Description: This bill requires the Department of Defense to develop a plan to increase the total number of units of the Junior Reserve Officers' Training Corps to ensure that there is reasonable access to such units in each geographic region of the United States by September 30, 2031.

Sponsors: Rep. Bacon, Don [R-NE-2]

Target Audience

Population: High school students in the United States

Estimated Size: 600000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

High School Student (New York City, NY)

Age: 16 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think having more JROTC units is great because it gives students more opportunities to be involved in leadership activities.
  • Even though I'm not personally interested in JROTC, seeing other students have more diverse extracurricular options could improve our school's environment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 5

High School Student (Dallas, TX)

Age: 15 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am excited about the expansion of JROTC programs because it aligns with my future goals of serving in the military.
  • Having more access to these programs means I don't have to travel far to participate.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 10 9
Year 10 10 9
Year 20 9 8

High School Student (Chicago, IL)

Age: 17 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I have mixed feelings about JROTC expansion. It's nice to have more opportunities for students, but I wonder if the resources could be used elsewhere like arts programs.
  • Not everyone is interested in military-related activities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 4 3

High School Student (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 16 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The JROTC expansion is a good thing for those interested in leadership and discipline, but I hope it doesn't overshadow other important programs.
  • It could be a positive avenue for students who want structure.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Middle School Student (Rural Tennessee)

Age: 14 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm curious about JROTC but it's not a well-known option in my community. Expanding it would give people here more information and choices.
  • I think it could be interesting to learn more about leadership and the military.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 5

High School Senior (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 18 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm neutral about the JROTC expansion. I don't think it affects me much, but it could open up jobs and skills for others my age.
  • My main concern is how funds are being allocated in education.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 4
Year 2 4 4
Year 3 4 3
Year 5 4 3
Year 10 4 3
Year 20 3 2

High School Student (Orlando, FL)

Age: 16 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm thrilled about JROTC becoming more accessible. It supports my career aspirations and gives me a sense of direction.
  • I hope this program helps more students find their way.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 10 9
Year 5 10 9
Year 10 10 9
Year 20 10 9

High School Student (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 17 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't think JROTC expansion will affect my plans, but it's a good initiative for increasing student choices.
  • Opportunities like JROTC are great if they're balanced with other extracurriculars.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 4 4
Year 20 4 3

High School Student (Minneapolis, MN)

Age: 15 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having more JROTC options won't directly impact me, but it's beneficial for friends who enjoy those activities.
  • I hope schools maintain diverse program offerings.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 5

High School Student (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 16 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • JROTC expansion seems like a positive initiative, especially for those interested in the military route.
  • Increasing options should always be encouraged.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $160000000 (Low: $130000000, High: $190000000)

Year 2: $170000000 (Low: $140000000, High: $200000000)

Year 3: $180000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $210000000)

Year 5: $210000000 (Low: $180000000, High: $240000000)

Year 10: $260000000 (Low: $230000000, High: $290000000)

Year 100: $300000000 (Low: $270000000, High: $330000000)

Key Considerations