Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8285

Bill Overview

Title: Vehicle Innovation Act of 2022

Description: 22 This bill authorizes through FY2027 the Department of Energy (DOE) to research, develop, and commercialize innovative vehicle technologies. Among other things, the bill requires DOE to conduct a program on materials, technologies, and processes with the potential to substantially reduce or eliminate petroleum use and the emissions of  U.S. passenger and commercial vehicles, including in the areas of natural gas and hydrogen vehicle technologies, electrification of vehicle systems, and hydraulic hybrid technologies; implement a program of advanced vehicle manufacturing technologies and practices, including innovative processes to increase the production rate and decrease the cost of advanced battery and fuel cell manufacturing; and seek opportunities to leverage resources and support initiatives of state and local governments in developing and promoting advanced vehicle technologies, manufacturing, and infrastructure.

Sponsors: Rep. Dingell, Debbie [D-MI-12]

Target Audience

Population: Global population impacted by vehicle innovation and environmental changes

Estimated Size: 335000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Automotive Engineer (Detroit, MI)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe this policy could drive significant innovations in our industry. It provides the necessary push to focus on cleaner technologies, which aligns with where global automotive trends are heading.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 8 5

Tech Start-up Specialist (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy recognizes the potential of hydrogen technology, which could catalyze investment and collaboration opportunities. It's critical for scaling our efforts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Oil and Gas Industry Executive (Houston, TX)

Age: 54 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While I recognize the importance of moving to sustainable energy, the policy could significantly disrupt the oil and gas sectors. We need a transition period.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 3 5
Year 5 3 5
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 5 5

Environmental Policy Advisor (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy paves the way for transformational environmental benefits. It aligns with our climate goals and will enhance our air quality in urban areas.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 10 7
Year 20 10 7

Economic Analyst (New York City, NY)

Age: 63 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The economic implications of this policy are immense, with potential job growth in clean industries but challenges in transitioning traditional sectors. It's a mixed bag.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 4

Battery Production Worker (Austin, TX)

Age: 24 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this leads to more stable jobs and career growth in my field. Better technologies will likely require an increase in production and offer more opportunities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 10 5
Year 20 9 5

Farmer (Rural Kansas)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Not sure how this directly impacts me, but any reduction in petroleum-based systems could eventually influence farming equipment technology.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Small Business Owner (Chicago, IL)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could expand my market if more people use advanced technology vehicles. I'm excited about the potential new lines of products.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 8 5

Retired (Seattle, WA)

Age: 58 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Retirement and changes in the auto industry don't concern me much, but the environmental benefits will likely improve my quality of life over time.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 5

College Student (Boston, MA)

Age: 21 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is the future I want to be part of. It will frame my career and my studies significantly. The opportunities are exciting for my generation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 7
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 10 7
Year 10 10 6
Year 20 10 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $1200000000 (Low: $1000000000, High: $1400000000)

Year 2: $1300000000 (Low: $1100000000, High: $1500000000)

Year 3: $1400000000 (Low: $1200000000, High: $1600000000)

Year 5: $1500000000 (Low: $1300000000, High: $1700000000)

Year 10: $1600000000 (Low: $1400000000, High: $1800000000)

Year 100: $1700000000 (Low: $1500000000, High: $1900000000)

Key Considerations