Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8284

Bill Overview

Title: Don Young American Grown Act

Description: This bill prohibits the official display of a cut flower or green in any public area of a building of the Executive Office of the President, the Department of State, or the Department of Defense unless it is produced in the United States. The prohibition does not apply to any cut flower or green used by a federal officer or employee for personal display.

Sponsors: Rep. Carbajal, Salud O. [D-CA-24]

Target Audience

Population: People involved in the floriculture industry impacted by US sourcing regulations

Estimated Size: 1000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Flower Farm Owner (California)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy will likely boost our sales as all federal flower procurement must be local.
  • I hope it encourages more people to appreciate local florals.
  • There might be some initial scramble to meet increased demand, but it's a good problem to have.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 5

Flower Distributor (Florida)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I have mixed feelings; it could mean more work with domestic suppliers, but we will lose our deals with foreign producers.
  • There might be some layoffs if the shift happens too quickly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 5

Government Procurement Officer (New York)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This will complicate our logistics quite a bit since we often choose flowers based on theme regardless of origin.
  • We'll need more time to adapt to sourcing everything domestically.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Event Planner (Texas)

Age: 54 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This won't affect my clients significantly as we mostly use domestic flowers already.
  • It's a great incentive for more sustainable sourcing practices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Florist Shop Owner (Hawaii)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I mainly source internationally, so I don't expect a direct impact on my day-to-day.
  • Tourist-focused markets are usually less affected by federal restrictions like this.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 5

Event Supplier (Washington D.C.)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Certainly there's an added layer of complexity, but I see opportunities for new domestic partnerships.
  • The transition may increase costs, but it matches broader trends we've been preparing for.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Logistics Manager at Floral Company (Illinois)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The company will need to pivot focus towards domestic suppliers.
  • My job will get more challenging without imported stock for flexibility.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 5 4

Organic Flower Grower (Oregon)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • An exciting development that aligns with my sustainable business model.
  • Could open up a niche market for more organic local flowers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Retired Army Officer (Colorado)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It seems like a strategic decision to support local, impacting mainly government-related events.
  • My private functions won't be affected much.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 5

Public Relations Specialist (Washington)

Age: 36 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • A push towards local sourcing can echo our sustainability messages nicely.
  • We might face challenges in variety initially, but it's a positive narrative.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $1000000 (Low: $750000, High: $1250000)

Year 2: $1000000 (Low: $750000, High: $1250000)

Year 3: $1000000 (Low: $750000, High: $1250000)

Year 5: $1000000 (Low: $750000, High: $1250000)

Year 10: $1000000 (Low: $750000, High: $1250000)

Year 100: $1000000 (Low: $750000, High: $1250000)

Key Considerations