Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8277

Bill Overview

Title: Conspiracy to Obstruct the Electoral Count Act

Description: This bill prohibits the President from interfering with the determination of electoral votes and establishes penalties for violations. Specifically, the bill prohibits the President from obstructing the certification of electoral votes by Congress or pressuring the Vice President during such certification to discount a state-certified slate of electors or count an alternate slate of electors; a federal, state, or local official to substitute an alternate slate of electors; a federal, state, or local official to find votes; or a federal, state, or local official to make false claims about a presidential election.

Sponsors: Rep. Torres, Ritchie [D-NY-15]

Target Audience

Population: People affected by the obstruction of the electoral process in the U.S.

Estimated Size: 331000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

State Election Official (Atlanta, Georgia)

Age: 56 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This bill will provide me with more protections in my role as an election official.
  • It's comforting to know there's legislation to back us against undue pressure.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Software Engineer (Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hadn't thought about it much, but I suppose this makes it more secure to vote.
  • Public trust in elections is important. This seems like a step in the right direction.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Local Government Official (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy helps provide clear boundaries for electoral integrity.
  • It could prevent situations where local officials are put in uncomfortable positions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Retired (Miami, Florida)

Age: 72 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Ensuring elections remain fair is critical at this point in my life.
  • I might feel a bit more at ease with the integrity of future elections.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Activist (Austin, Texas)

Age: 38 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is an important step for ensuring fair elections, though it's only one part of necessary reforms.
  • Such measures help us tackle larger systemic issues.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 8

Student (Seattle, Washington)

Age: 25 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Legislation like this is vital for preventing the erosion of electoral integrity.
  • I'm relieved by any measures that protect against political abuses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Retired Teacher (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 63 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm encouraged by the efforts to uphold the integrity of our electoral system.
  • It's crucial that wrongdoing is clearly penalized to deter misconduct.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Journalist (Denver, Colorado)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy helps secure the electoral process, though accountability measures are also needed.
  • It's a step towards regaining public trust.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Small Business Owner (Chicago, Illinois)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I generally trust the system but supportive of extra precautions against corruption.
  • Stable elections mean stable policies which help my business.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Lawyer (New York City, New York)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This bill aligns with longstanding legal standards around fair process.
  • Ensuring fair play in our democracy is paramount—this helps legally back those ideals.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 2: $52000000 (Low: $31000000, High: $73000000)

Year 3: $54080000 (Low: $32550000, High: $76120000)

Year 5: $58320000 (Low: $35184000, High: $82240000)

Year 10: $69540000 (Low: $41924000, High: $99170000)

Year 100: $100000000 (Low: $60000000, High: $140000000)

Key Considerations