Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8276

Bill Overview

Title: Iron Pipeline Review Act

Description: This bill requires the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives to report to Congress on firearms trafficked along Interstate 95. The report must include an analysis of the firearms trafficked and contain legislative proposals to counter the firearms trafficking.

Sponsors: Rep. Torres, Ritchie [D-NY-15]

Target Audience

Population: People impacted by firearms trafficking along Interstate 95

Estimated Size: 330000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

School Teacher (Richmond, Virginia)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope the policy leads to safer streets.
  • Any reduction in gun trafficking is welcome, though I'm skeptical about how quickly we will see changes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Police Officer (Brooklyn, New York)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could make our job easier if it leads to stricter regulations.
  • Progress might be slow initially, but it's a start.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Community Activist (Miami, Florida)

Age: 58 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy is a good step, but more action is needed.
  • We need more than reports – real policy changes must follow.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 4 4
Year 20 4 4

College Student (Savannah, Georgia)

Age: 23 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This report could spark needed discussions.
  • Interested to see if it impacts federal laws.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Small Business Owner (Newark, New Jersey)

Age: 37 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Decreasing gun trafficking could make my neighborhood safer.
  • I'm cautiously optimistic about the policy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Political Analyst (Washington D.C.)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The legislative proposals resulting from this act could be transformative.
  • Much depends on congressional response.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Retired (Boston, Massachusetts)

Age: 65 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Hoping this policy leads to fewer guns on our streets.
  • Skeptical about large impact from just reporting.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Healthcare Worker (Hartford, Connecticut)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This feels like a necessary step forward.
  • Any reduction in gun crime would be a relief.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Truck Driver (Charleston, South Carolina)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Trafficking impacts safety on the roads – any reduction is good.
  • Not directly impacted but supportive of the initiative.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Graduate Student (Philadelphia, Pennsylvania)

Age: 25 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's good to see attention on this issue.
  • Hopeful for change, but it may take time to see real effects.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $15000000)

Year 2: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $15000000)

Year 3: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $15000000)

Year 5: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $15000000)

Year 10: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $15000000)

Year 100: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $15000000)

Key Considerations