Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8250

Bill Overview

Title: Copyright Clause Restoration Act of 2022

Description: This bill shortens the copyright protection term to 28 years starting from the date the work was originally secured, to be renewable for an additional 28-year term. (Under current law, for works created after 1977, the general rule is that the copyright term lasts for the life of the author plus 70 years.) The bill shall apply to all works fixed on or after the bill's enactment, except that it shall have retroactive effect for copyrights belonging to an entity that (1) is involved in the motion picture or arts and entertainment industries, and (2) has a market capitalization of more than $150 billion.

Sponsors: Rep. Steube, W. Gregory [R-FL-17]

Target Audience

Population: People whose financial or professional wellbeing is affected by copyright term changes

Estimated Size: 200000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Independent Filmmaker (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy might make it harder for me to secure long-term income from my films if large studios re-release similar concepts more cheaply due to rights expiration.
  • While I rely less on massive distribution, any impact on the documentary market affects how I plan funding.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 4 5

Software Developer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 33 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As a developer, I don't see immediate changes, but I worry that products using older code libraries might have to adapt more quickly to IP status changes.
  • Might increase company pressure to innovate faster, which could be good or bad for career growth.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 7

Publisher (New York, NY)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could significantly impact the revenue patterns from older book collections.
  • Expecting to push more resources towards newer publications or attempts at alternative distribution models.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 3 5
Year 20 3 4

Graphic Designer (Austin, TX)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • May open up more opportunities for design briefings as older works become public accessible assets.
  • Expecting more competition for work but also more client projects due to market shifts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 6

Educator (Seattle, WA)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy will enrich my coursework on copyright laws with practical contemporary examples.
  • Should have minimal direct financial impact but enhances the educational experience and content depth.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Corporate Lawyer (Chicago, IL)

Age: 51 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Clients might face increased legal considerations for older software entering the public domain sooner.
  • Greater need for legal counsel as clients navigate these new rules, potentially increasing workload.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 5

Independent Musician (Albuquerque, NM)

Age: 56 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Concerned about competition from expired copyrights on older jazz standards.
  • Potentially increases the need to focus on touring or digital content streams as other bands cover older, now-out-of-protection music.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 3 5

Video Game Designer (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Minimal immediate effect but considering the potential impact on game sequels and character redesigns once original copyrights expire sooner.
  • Could lead to new design opportunities in remakes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Student (Denver, CO)

Age: 23 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might influence my future publishing strategy if older works and stylistic niches cycle faster due to shorter protection periods.
  • Expect agencies and publishers to be proactive with new content deals.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 6

CEO of Entertainment Company (Miami, FL)

Age: 48 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The retroactive policy changes projected revenue from some older films and art pieces, necessitating strategic shifts.
  • May need to acquire new IPs or focus on digital platforms more.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 3 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $20000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $30000000)

Year 2: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $25000000)

Year 3: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 5: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $18000000)

Year 10: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $6000000)

Year 100: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $6000000)

Key Considerations