Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8234

Bill Overview

Title: Pacific Island Aviator Development Act

Description: This bill directs the Department of Transportation (DOT) to revise its flight time requirements for airplanes with a single-engine rating. Specifically, DOT must establish an exception to require a straight-line distance of at least 110 nautical miles for the longest segment cross-country flight requirement on a cross-country flight of 300 nautical miles or more if such requirement is being met in Guam, Hawaii, or the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands.

Sponsors: Del. San Nicolas, Michael F. Q. [D-GU-At Large]

Target Audience

Population: Aspiring pilots and flight schools in Guam, Hawaii, and Northern Mariana Islands

Estimated Size: 15000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Aspiring pilot (Hawaii)

Age: 24 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think the policy makes a lot of sense, considering our unique geographic challenges.
  • This change will help me finish my flight training faster.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Flight school instructor (Guam)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Adjusting the curriculum will be a challenge at first, but it could attract more students.
  • This policy might increase our enrollment numbers, which I am hopeful for.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Airline pilot (Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands)

Age: 33 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see this as a positive step. More local pilots mean better opportunities within our community.
  • It might not affect me directly, but it could in the long run by increasing our workforce.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Tourism Manager (Hawaii)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could be great for local tourism if it results in more flights.
  • More pilots might mean more flexibility and routes for visitors, which is good news for our sector.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Aviation Regulator (Guam)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The changes will require additional oversight, but we are prepared for it.
  • I expect this to enhance our local aviation capabilities.
  • While the workload might increase temporarily, the long-term benefits are promising.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 5

Flight School Owner (Hawaii)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It’s a bit of a financial stress initially, but it might pay off by attracting more students.
  • Hopefully, there will be support for schools like ours to make these transitions smoother.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 3

Aspiring pilot (Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands)

Age: 21 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy gives me more options and flexibility during training.
  • Finishing my training faster means I can look for jobs sooner in the islands.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 5

Retired Commercial Pilot (Hawaii)

Age: 58 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think any policy that supports more local pilots is beneficial.
  • Mentoring more pilots with flexible training is a positive step forward.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Regional Airline Manager (Guam)

Age: 36 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More trained pilots could mean our operations would be more flexible and potentially more efficient.
  • An influx of pilots might mean we can explore more regional flights.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 5

High School Career Counselor (Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could make aviation careers more attainable for my students.
  • I'm hopeful that more kids will consider becoming pilots since training will be more accessible.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $12000000)

Year 2: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $12000000)

Year 3: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $12000000)

Year 5: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $12000000)

Year 10: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $12000000)

Year 100: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $12000000)

Key Considerations