Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8232

Bill Overview

Title: DPA Reform Act of 2022

Description: This bill modifies the Defense Production Act of 1950, including by requiring that there must be a declaration of war to exercise authority under the act.

Sponsors: Rep. Perry, Scott [R-PA-10]

Target Audience

Population: People working in industries related to defense production, healthcare, and critical infrastructure

Estimated Size: 30000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Defense Contractor (Portsmouth, Virginia)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy reform might create bureaucratic delays due to needing a war declaration.
  • Certain contract opportunities may dry up as a result.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 7 7

Healthcare Supplies Manufacturer (Springfield, Illinois)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The change could hamper responses to health crises similar to COVID-19.
  • The dependency on declarations of war isn't practical for healthcare supply demands.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Software Engineer for Aerospace (Atlanta, Georgia)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy calls for a war declaration which could limit cybersecurity advancements.
  • Cyber threats require immediate action, which might be delayed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Military Personnel (El Paso, Texas)

Age: 58 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • A requirement for war declarations could create bottlenecks in logistics and equipment distribution in crises.
  • Domestic deployments for humanitarian aid might be impacted.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Technology Entrepreneur (Seattle, Washington)

Age: 37 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • There is potential reduction in investment and innovation support without peace-time uses of DPA.
  • Emerging defense technologies might face hurdles.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 7 10
Year 5 6 10
Year 10 6 9
Year 20 8 9

Pharmaceutical Supply Chain Manager (Boston, Massachusetts)

Age: 26 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Maintaining operational fluidity without DPA during non-war times might be challenging.
  • Restructured management means a potential impact to medicine availability during emergencies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 8 6

Retired - Former Military Analyst (San Diego, California)

Age: 62 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Though now retired, I foresee the policy change could create gaps in defense production efficacy.
  • Long-term advances might slow down without war-based DPA invocations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 6 7

Automotive Parts Supplier (Detroit, Michigan)

Age: 41 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Manufacturing could face a decline needing a war declaration to act on certain DPA provisions.
  • Restrictions could mean a restructuring of production lines.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 8

Policy Researcher (Houston, Texas)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy change may not drastically affect everyday lives but could change strategic defense overviews.
  • Research opportunities might expand owing to shifts in policy interpretation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 9

Defense Systems Engineer (Huntsville, Alabama)

Age: 53 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Requiring declarations of war could impinge on technological R&D cycles and defense readiness.
  • National security strategies might need reevaluation under this policy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 6 9
Year 10 7 9
Year 20 7 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 2: $51000000 (Low: $30500000, High: $71500000)

Year 3: $52020000 (Low: $31100000, High: $73000000)

Year 5: $53110000 (Low: $31800000, High: $74600000)

Year 10: $55790000 (Low: $33400000, High: $78700000)

Year 100: $108400000 (Low: $64800000, High: $147600000)

Key Considerations