Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8223

Bill Overview

Title: Citizen Ballot Protection Act

Description: This bill allows a state to include on its mail voter registration application form a requirement that the applicant provide proof of U.S. citizenship.

Sponsors: Rep. Palmer, Gary J. [R-AL-6]

Target Audience

Population: People applying for voter registration by mail in states that implement this requirement

Estimated Size: 135000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Student (Texas)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I feel it could make things difficult for students like me who don't always have all their documents at hand.
  • I believe it might complicate the well-intentioned registration processes for some.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 9

Software Engineer (California)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I completed my citizenship and have the required documents, but not everyone is that organized.
  • Policies like this risk alienating voters, reducing turnout.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 10 10

Freelance Designer (New York)

Age: 30 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Keeping track of all my citizenship documents is already challenging.
  • I'm concerned this could deter me from voting if it becomes too cumbersome.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Retired (Arizona)

Age: 62 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This new requirement could discourage me and others from voting by mail, especially those less tech-savvy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 9

Construction Worker (Florida)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about my documents getting lost and having to acquire new ones.
  • This makes me feel like my vote might not be counted if I can't register.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 7 8

Nurse (Colorado)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As a healthcare provider, I understand security needs but this could limit access for those most in need of a voice.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 9

Small Business Owner (Georgia)

Age: 51 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm okay with extra security, but the process should be made easier for busy families like mine.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Elementary School Teacher (Ohio)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Voting is foundational, and changes that complicate registration feel like barriers, not improvements.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 10 10

Veteran Affairs Coordinator (Nebraska)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Veterans have given so much for these rights; any measure should enhance access, not deter it.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Non-Profit Director (Pennsylvania)

Age: 54 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry how quick state regulations can change and disenfranchise many without notice.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 10

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 2: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 3: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 5: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 10: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 100: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Key Considerations