Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8202

Bill Overview

Title: Preventing Vape Use Act

Description: This bill requires electronic nicotine delivery systems (e.g., e-cigarettes and vape pens) to successfully undergo Food and Drug Administration (FDA) premarket review before being introduced into interstate commerce for commercial distribution. It also requires the FDA to order a mandatory recall of any such systems that have not successfully undergone premarket review.

Sponsors: Rep. DeSaulnier, Mark [D-CA-11]

Target Audience

Population: People who use electronic nicotine delivery systems

Estimated Size: 13000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Student (California)

Age: 17 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think regulating vape products is a good idea because it might help some of my friends who have started vaping too much.
  • If the products are safer, I’d feel less worried about using them occasionally.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 9 3
Year 20 9 2

College Student (New York)

Age: 22 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I’m worried about having fewer choices for vaping, and the prices might go up if only a few get approved.
  • But hopefully, it’ll mean better products and maybe help me quit eventually.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 9 4

Healthcare Professional (Texas)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is an excellent step toward protecting our youth from harmful substances.
  • I support the stringent measures as they might reduce the prevalence of vaping related illnesses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 10 8
Year 20 10 7

Entrepreneur (Illinois)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might put my shop at risk if we're unable to stock approved products.
  • I'm worried about costs and losing customers, but safety is important too.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 9

Teacher (Florida)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm relieved as a parent to see tighter control over what my kids could be using.
  • However, education is also essential alongside these regulations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 5

High School Student (Ohio)

Age: 18 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think the policy is both good and bad. It could make it harder for me to get lower quality products, which is safer.
  • However, it might drive people to buy from unregulated sources.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 7 3
Year 10 7 3
Year 20 8 2

Software Engineer (Washington)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe this policy will make vapes safer, which is a plus for my health-focused lifestyle.
  • I hope this doesn't limit the flavors too much, as they help me stay off cigarettes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 10 9
Year 20 10 9

Retail Manager (Georgia)

Age: 25 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope the policy ensures we have safe products to use occasionally.
  • I'm worried that costs might increase if fewer products are approved.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 6

Retired (Nevada)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy seems like a step back if it limits harm-reduction options for former smokers like me.
  • Safety is paramount, but I hope it doesn’t eliminate the products that help reduce harm.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 7

Doctor (Michigan)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I advocate for this policy because it can potentially lead to less youth access to harmful products.
  • However, the policy must be coupled with educational initiatives and support systems.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 10 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 2: $52000000 (Low: $31000000, High: $73000000)

Year 3: $54000000 (Low: $32000000, High: $76000000)

Year 5: $58000000 (Low: $34000000, High: $81000000)

Year 10: $63000000 (Low: $37000000, High: $87000000)

Year 100: $78000000 (Low: $46000000, High: $107000000)

Key Considerations