Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8176

Bill Overview

Title: Unleash American Drilling Act

Description: This bill requires the Department of Interior to issue decisions on applications for drilling permits associated with certain oil and gas leases within specified timeframes. If a decision is not made within the timeframe, the permit shall be considered issued.

Sponsors: Rep. Budd, Ted [R-NC-13]

Target Audience

Population: People impacted by oil and gas drilling policies

Estimated Size: 30000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Oil Rig Worker (Houston, Texas)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think the policy will secure my job and potentially increase my income through overtime or bonuses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 4
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 9 4
Year 20 5 4

Environmental Scientist (Casper, Wyoming)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could significantly negatively impact local ecosystems and wildlife. I'm concerned about the long-term environmental effects.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 3 6
Year 20 2 5

Retired Coal Miner (Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I support job creation but am worried about pollution and health impacts from increased drilling activity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 4 4
Year 10 3 4
Year 20 3 4

Petroleum Engineer (Midland, Texas)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy is a great opportunity for new engineers like me to advance our careers in the energy sector.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 6 5

Local Business Owner (Santa Fe, New Mexico)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased drilling could deter tourists by affecting the natural beauty of our region.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 3 5

Truck Driver (Fargo, North Dakota)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More drilling means more transport jobs for me, but it also causes roads to deteriorate faster.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Environmental Lawyer (New York, New York)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This act deeply concerns me, as it sidelines environmental checks which are crucial for sustainable development.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 4 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 3 6
Year 10 3 5
Year 20 2 5

IT Specialist (Austin, Texas)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think lower energy costs could benefit tech companies by reducing operational costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 5 6

Retired Farmer (Cheyenne, Wyoming)

Age: 65 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about what increased drilling could do to the water supply and land quality near my property.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 3 4
Year 20 3 4

Energy Analyst (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could lead to short-term job growth but may not support long-term energy stability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $100000000 (Low: $75000000, High: $150000000)

Year 2: $100000000 (Low: $75000000, High: $150000000)

Year 3: $105000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $155000000)

Year 5: $110000000 (Low: $85000000, High: $160000000)

Year 10: $120000000 (Low: $90000000, High: $170000000)

Year 100: $150000000 (Low: $120000000, High: $200000000)

Key Considerations