Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8165

Bill Overview

Title: Commercial Vehicle Fleet Retreaded Tire Utilization Reinvestment and Recovery Act of 2022

Description: This bill allows a new tax deduction through 2026 for 50% of the cost of purchasing a qualified retreaded tire (i.e., a retreaded truck tire manufactured in the United States by a manufacturer that is not owned or under the control of a state-owned enterprise and purchased by the taxpayer in the United States).

Sponsors: Rep. Ryan, Tim [D-OH-13]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals whose livelihoods depend on the commercial vehicle industry, including fleet operators, retreaded tire manufacturers, and associated sectors

Estimated Size: 1500000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Owner of a small commercial trucking company (Dallas, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could really help reduce our maintenance costs and keep us competitive.
  • The cost of tires is one of our major recurring expenses, so any savings help us reinvest in the business.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Manager at a retread tire manufacturing company (Columbus, OH)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We expect an increase in orders due to the tax incentive.
  • Our challenge will be meeting the increased demand without compromising quality.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Logistics Manager for a national retail chain (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our fleet might need future partnerships with retread providers due to this policy.
  • Long-term, this could reduce logistic costs significantly, improving our operational budget.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Tire technician (Rural Wisconsin)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's good to see more focus on retreading which is often overlooked.
  • With more work, we'll have opportunities for job stability, which is welcome here.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 5

Independently contracted truck driver (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Every bit of savings helps, but I doubt the policy will directly affect independent drivers like me much.
  • I hope the benefits trickle down in terms of better general road service.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 4 4
Year 20 4 3

Financial Analyst (New York, NY)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy is an interesting development; however, its direct impact might be limited to cost-heavy operations.
  • Smaller fleets should closely analyze the real savings against the administrative processes involved.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Retired Truck Driver (Chicago, IL)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Tax credits are complicated but definitely beneficial for the bigger guys.
  • For someone like me, who is retired, there isn't much personal impact, but I like the focus on sustainability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 4 4

Tire sales representative (Miami, FL)

Age: 44 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I expect this policy to boost our sales figures significantly.
  • We'll need to adjust our sales strategies to emphasize these savings to clients.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 4

Owner of a retread tire manufacturing operation (Houston, TX)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Retreading has always needed more attention, this policy brings that.
  • I foresee new investments and expansion opportunities here, benefiting not just us, but our local economy too.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 5

Environmental Policy Consultant (Seattle, WA)

Age: 41 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Anything promoting sustainability is a step in the right direction.
  • With this policy, there's new ground for collaboration between economics and environmentalism in the transportation sector.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $800000000 (Low: $600000000, High: $1000000000)

Year 2: $820000000 (Low: $620000000, High: $1050000000)

Year 3: $850000000 (Low: $640000000, High: $1100000000)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations