Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8153

Bill Overview

Title: Indo-Pacific Engagement Act

Description: This bill requires the Department of State to, in coordination with the U.S. Agency for International Development, report annually to Congress an assessment of the resources and activities needed to achieve certain U.S. objectives in the Indo-Pacific region, such as enhancing diplomatic and economic relations with regional allies and partners and countering any malign influence of China's government.

Sponsors: Rep. Bera, Ami [D-CA-7]

Target Audience

Population: People living in the Indo-Pacific region

Estimated Size: 40000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

International Business Executive (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think the policy could foster better business relations with new markets in the Indo-Pacific region.
  • There might be increased exports which could bolster our business.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 7

Government Policy Analyst (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The Act will provide clarity and direction for U.S. policy in a crucial region.
  • It could lead to more structured diplomatic efforts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 6

Tech Entrepreneur (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy might open up new partnership opportunities in the region.
  • However, it's uncertain how much my specific business will benefit directly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Importer/Exporter (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 41 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Improving relations may lower tariffs or ease trade restrictions.
  • There's a risk that focus might shift resources from other regions where I do business.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

University Professor (Chicago, IL)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This initiative may lead to more academic partnerships and exchanges.
  • I am concerned about increased politicization of our academic field.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 10 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Oil and Gas Consultant (Houston, TX)

Age: 62 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Enhanced diplomacy may secure more stable conditions for energy projects.
  • However, it may lead to increased scrutiny of investments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Graduate Student (Boston, MA)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could increase job prospects in the foreign service related to the Indo-Pacific region.
  • Greater focus on this area can enrich my educational experience.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

Non-profit Coordinator (Miami, FL)

Age: 37 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Such policies often foster more cultural and academic exchanges.
  • However, I worry that increased security concerns might overshadow cultural efforts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 7

Cultural Exchange Program Director (Seattle, WA)

Age: 50 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy might streamline processes for student exchanges.
  • There is a risk of misallocation of resources if not properly overseen.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 10 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 8

Tourism Agency Manager (Austin, TX)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policymaking in the region could boost tourism by improving safety perceptions and easing travel restrictions.
  • There is potential for increased bureaucratic travel hurdles.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $200000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $250000000)

Year 2: $210000000 (Low: $157500000, High: $262500000)

Year 3: $220500000 (Low: $165375000, High: $275625000)

Year 5: $242550000 (Low: $181912500, High: $302187500)

Year 10: $293505000 (Low: $220128750, High: $366881250)

Year 100: $6115033656 (Low: $4586275242, High: $7643792070)

Key Considerations