Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8131

Bill Overview

Title: Increasing Competition for Medical Residency Act

Description: This bill repeals the antitrust exemption for graduate medical resident matching programs.

Sponsors: Rep. Spartz, Victoria [R-IN-5]

Target Audience

Population: Current and future medical residents and applicants to residency programs as well as potential patients impacted by redistribution of healthcare professionals

Estimated Size: 194000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Surgical Resident (Boston, MA)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned that increased competition might pressure hospitals to focus on offers rather than training quality.
  • This change could make residency programs less predictable, potentially benefiting those willing to negotiate better terms.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 7

Medical Student (Austin, TX)

Age: 26 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this change increases opportunities in underserved areas, but I'm wary of how it might destabilize my match prospects.
  • If more programs open up in rural areas, it could align with my career goals.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 6

Healthcare Administrator (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The repeal may drive us to improve our residency offerings, but funding is always a concern.
  • It might be possible to attract more diverse talent if we're allowed to tailor offers more directly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

General Practice Resident (New York, NY)

Age: 31 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Contract negotiations become crucial, and added stress might affect our focus on training.
  • I think it might open pathways but only if hospitals are prepared to handle the added competition.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 6

Recent Medical Graduate (Miami, FL)

Age: 24 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The change could level the playing field or make it even more competitive, I'm unsure how it will turn out.
  • As a recent graduate, any additional competition feels daunting.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Family Physician (Rural Kansas)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Rural areas might benefit from increased competition if more programs are willing to offer incentives to work here.
  • It has potential, but I'm afraid it might make little difference if programs still favor urban areas.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 4
Year 2 4 4
Year 3 4 4
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 4 4

Medical School Dean (Chicago, IL)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's challenging to predict how this will affect match rates and student satisfaction.
  • We might need more resources to educate students on negotiation and competitive application strategies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Cardiology Fellow (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased competition could mean better conditions but also higher stress in securing favorable terms.
  • Many fellows might feel uncertain about post-training opportunities under this change.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 7

Patient Advocate (Seattle, WA)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about potential disruptions to healthcare delivery if residents face too much movement or instability.
  • The policy change might push hospitals to focus too much on attracting residents instead of patient care.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 6

Hospital CFO (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's vital that we find a cost-efficient way to remain competitive without degrading the quality of our residency programs.
  • This new dynamic could shift how we allocate resources for resident training.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 2: $52000000 (Low: $31000000, High: $72000000)

Year 3: $53500000 (Low: $32000000, High: $74000000)

Year 5: $56500000 (Low: $34000000, High: $77000000)

Year 10: $62000000 (Low: $38000000, High: $84000000)

Year 100: $100000000 (Low: $60000000, High: $130000000)

Key Considerations