Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8128

Bill Overview

Title: To amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to expand the uses for funds under qualified tuition programs, and for other purposes.

Description: This bill expands the uses of qualified tuition program (529 plans) funds to include payment of costs related to industry recognized apprenticeship programs. It also provides for payment of expenses related to a career and technical education program or a career pathway. The bill increases from 1.4% to 1.6% the rate of the excise tax on the investment income of certain private colleges and universities.

Sponsors: Rep. Smucker, Lloyd [R-PA-11]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals and families using or eligible for 529 plans and apprenticeships globally

Estimated Size: 5000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Parent of high school junior (Boston, MA)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This change is beneficial for my family as my son is interested in an apprenticeship in electrical work.
  • Finally, the funds we saved can be used more flexibly. It relieves some financial pressure on our future planning.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

Apprentice welder (Pittsburgh, PA)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think it's a great move, but it doesn't affect me directly as I didn't have a 529 account growing up.
  • The expanded support for apprenticeships is promising for future entrants into skilled trades.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Corporate Manager (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a welcome change as my younger daughter is interested in pursuing a culinary apprenticeship program.
  • The new option provides us with more flexibility in using the funds effectively.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 8

Community College Faculty (Austin, TX)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While the expanded use of 529 funds is positive, I am concerned about the potential tuition increases due to the higher tax on private institutions.
  • The policy might shift how technical education is perceived and funded.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Private University Administrator (Cedar Rapids, IA)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The excise tax increase may lead us to reconsider some financial strategies to allocate costs effectively.
  • It's a mixed bag, benefiting some families while pressuring our institution's budget.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Recent high school graduate (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 23 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think it's great that there's support for apprenticeships, but I feel left out since my family never used 529 plans.
  • It might help future students but not me right now.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Auto mechanic (Chicago, IL)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having more resources for apprenticeships is good for those following my career path.
  • I didn't use this type of funding, but anything that supports education is positive.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Financial Planner (New York, NY)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Many of my clients will appreciate the expanded use of 529 plans, especially those considering non-traditional education pathways.
  • The tax change might concern some clients if they are dealing with private university tuition.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Retired Engineer (Seattle, WA)

Age: 65 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I appreciate the broader options available for my grandchildren.
  • The burden of saving for college is daunting, so the more flexible uses of these funds the better.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

College Student (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The tax might lead to higher tuition for students at private universities like mine.
  • While I support more use of funds in general, I hope it won't mean paying more for my education.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 7 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $350000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $400000000)

Year 2: $350000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $400000000)

Year 3: $350000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $400000000)

Year 5: $350000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $400000000)

Year 10: $350000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $400000000)

Year 100: $350000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $400000000)

Key Considerations