Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8126

Bill Overview

Title: Default Proceed Sale Transparency Act

Description: This bill establishes new requirements in the case of a firearm transfer by a licensed dealer, manufacturer, or importer to an unlicensed person prior to the completion of a background check. Current law permits such transactions—default proceed transactions—if a submitted background check remains incomplete after three business days.

Sponsors: Rep. Schneider, Bradley Scott [D-IL-10]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals involved in firearm purchasing transactions worldwide

Estimated Size: 130000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Gun store owner (Texas)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I understand the need for transparency, but it might slow down business operations.
  • Clearer guidelines could help us improve our processes though.
  • Additional resources for running background checks faster would be appreciated.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 6

Teacher (California)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think improving background checks is necessary for safety.
  • This could contribute to a safer environment for children.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Retiree (Missouri)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about my ability to purchase a firearm quickly.
  • It might infringe on my rights if not implemented correctly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

Tech worker (New York)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I appreciate the increased safety this policy might offer.
  • However, I'm concerned about data privacy and delays.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Police officer (Florida)

Age: 27 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Anything that strengthens background checks is a win for law enforcement.
  • I'd like to see these changes paired with funding for community programs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 6

IT Specialist (Arkansas)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I support transparency but fear overreach.
  • This needs to respect rights without unnecessary delays.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 7

Gun control advocate (Illinois)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Better regulations can prevent tragedies.
  • This policy is a step in the right direction for transparency.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 6

Firearms instructor (Ohio)

Age: 33 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy should ensure smooth, fair transactions.
  • I'm worried about potential business disruptions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 6

Community activist (Pennsylvania)

Age: 62 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies that reduce loopholes in gun sales will benefit us all.
  • The community could be safer with these changes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Military veteran (Virginia)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Transparency is good, but don't restrict responsible owners.
  • We need precise implementation to avoid harming veterans' access.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $55000000 (Low: $45000000, High: $65000000)

Year 2: $50000000 (Low: $40000000, High: $60000000)

Year 3: $45000000 (Low: $35000000, High: $55000000)

Year 5: $40000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $50000000)

Year 10: $30000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $40000000)

Year 100: $10000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $15000000)

Key Considerations