Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8118

Bill Overview

Title: Aaron Salter, Jr., Responsible Body Armor Possession Act

Description: This bill establishes a federal statutory framework to restrict the purchase, ownership, or possession of enhanced body armor by civilians. The term enhanced body armor means body armor, including a helmet or shield, with a ballistic resistance that meets or exceeds the ballistic performance standard of Type III armor, as determined using the National Institute of Justice standard in effect at the time the person purchases, owns, or possesses the armor.

Sponsors: Rep. Meng, Grace [D-NY-6]

Target Audience

Population: Civilians seeking to purchase or possess enhanced body armor

Estimated Size: 500000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Private Security Contractor (Detroit, MI)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy makes my job riskier if I can't use enhanced armor.
  • I'll need to find alternative ways to protect myself.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 4 6

Journalist (Dallas, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe my safety is directly compromised by this policy.
  • It restricts my ability to report safely from dangerous regions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 4 7
Year 5 4 7
Year 10 3 7
Year 20 3 7

Civilian (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is concerning for my personal safety.
  • I'm unsure if I'll feel secure in my neighborhood without this protection.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 3 5
Year 5 3 5
Year 10 3 5
Year 20 3 5

Retired Policeman (Newark, NJ)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I understand the intent behind the policy, but it feels restrictive to those of us who've left law enforcement.
  • I'll have to comply, but it seems unnecessary for a retiree.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Software Engineer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy doesn't really affect my daily life.
  • I understand its importance for public safety, though.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Gun Store Owner (Houston, TX)

Age: 53 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could hurt my business with restrictions on Type III armor sales.
  • I'll need to adjust inventory to accommodate the policy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 5 7

Teacher (Chicago, IL)

Age: 36 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think the policy is reasonable for public safety.
  • It doesn’t affect me personally but seems thoughtful enough.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Freelance Photographer (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about being less protected while on jobs that could turn violent.
  • I support restrictions, but I'd appreciate professional exemptions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 4 6

Student (Oakland, CA)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm aware of the policy but it doesn’t seem directly related to my life.
  • My peers and I focus more on broader socio-political changes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

IT Specialist (Miami, FL)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm curious about the policy's impact on privacy and protection rights.
  • Personally, I don’t own or need such gear currently.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $15000000 (Low: $12000000, High: $18000000)

Year 2: $15500000 (Low: $12500000, High: $18500000)

Year 3: $16000000 (Low: $13000000, High: $19000000)

Year 5: $17000000 (Low: $14000000, High: $20000000)

Year 10: $19000000 (Low: $16000000, High: $22000000)

Year 100: $50000000 (Low: $40000000, High: $60000000)

Key Considerations