Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8101

Bill Overview

Title: To direct the Commissioner of Social Security to conduct a study relating to administrative costs.

Description: This bill requires the Social Security Administration (SSA) to study and report on ways to insure the solvency of the Social Security program while protecting current benefits. In its study, the SSA must address lowering administrative costs of the program and investigate means testing, flat benefits, and basing benefits on lifelong labor earnings.

Sponsors: Rep. Cawthorn, Madison [R-NC-11]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals dependent on Social Security programs

Estimated Size: 70000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

retired teacher (Florida)

Age: 65 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Concerned about any reduction in benefits.
  • Hopes the policy can secure long-term stability of Social Security.
  • Worried about potential impacts of means testing.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 9 4

factory worker (Ohio)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Worried about retirement security.
  • Supports actions that ensure Social Security viability.
  • Neutral about administrative cost reductions as long as service is not impacted.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 8 3

retired engineer (California)

Age: 70 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Welcomes studies to ensure Social Security's future.
  • Worried about how means testing might affect benefits.
  • Believes some administration costs could be cut without harming user services.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 4

non-profit worker (New York)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Nervous about future benefits with erratic past earnings.
  • Needs assurance that her benefits will remain intact as projected.
  • Supports policies that stabilize Social Security.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 7 2
Year 20 8 2

self-employed artisan (Texas)

Age: 55 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Supports exploration of more equitable benefit distribution.
  • Wants assurance of fair disability coverage.
  • Worried about cuts to future benefits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 8 3
Year 20 9 2

nurse (Michigan)

Age: 63 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Would like early retirement with secured benefits.
  • Supports balancing administrative costs if it supports benefit security.
  • Worried about changes affecting expected benefits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 8 3
Year 20 8 3

construction worker (Illinois)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Concerned about means testing reducing potential benefits.
  • Supports measures that increase system integrity without cuts to benefits.
  • Believes that flat rate benefits could disadvantage him.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 7 2
Year 20 7 2

software developer (Washington)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Wants clarity on long-term Social Security viability.
  • Fine with restructuring if it means longer term benefits stability.
  • Believes administrative cost cuts should focus on non-core services.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 9 3
Year 20 9 2

retired salesperson (North Carolina)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Needs assurance that policy changes will protect current benefits.
  • Concerned with means testing and how it's applied.
  • Supports system sustainability efforts if they don't impact benefits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 8 3

retired government employee (Arizona)

Age: 75 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Supports any study aiming to preserve Social Security.
  • Skeptical of benefit alteration through means tests.
  • Believes careful balance is needed to prevent loss of current benefits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 7 3
Year 20 8 2

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $3000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $5000000)

Year 2: $1500000 (Low: $1000000, High: $2500000)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations