Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8098

Bill Overview

Title: To limit eligibility for public service loan forgiveness to borrowers of Federal student loans with incomes below a certain maximum threshold, and for other purposes.

Description: This bill limits eligibility for the Public Service Loan Forgiveness (PSLF) program to borrowers with adjusted gross incomes below a certain maximum threshold. Under the current PSLF program, the Department of Education must cancel the balance of interest and principal due on a borrower's Federal Direct Loans after the borrower makes 120 monthly loan payments while employed in a public service job and, at the time of loan forgiveness, the borrower is employed in a public service job. This bill specifies that, in order to count as a qualifying monthly loan payment under the PSLF program, the borrower must have an adjusted gross income that does not exceed $173,000.

Sponsors: Rep. Buck, Ken [R-CO-4]

Target Audience

Population: People with federal student loans working in public service jobs

Estimated Size: 9000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Public School Teacher (Seattle, WA)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy won't impact me since my income is well below the threshold.
  • I think it's fair to limit the program to those who need it the most.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Police Officer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy change could disqualify me from PSLF, which was a financial relief plan for my family.
  • It's disappointing as it's aimed at higher income, yet my expenses for family and housing are high.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Non-Profit Manager (Denver, CO)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm relieved since my salary is well under $173,000.
  • This keeps my eligibility for PSLF intact, providing significant financial relief potential.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 9

University Professor (Houston, TX)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe the policy is fair, but it makes my retirement planning complex.
  • I've been relying on the PSLF, which now won't be available; could mean working longer.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 9
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

City Planner (Boston, MA)

Age: 26 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My income is far from the threshold, so the policy doesn't affect me.
  • It's sensible to reserve loan forgiveness for those heavily burdened by debt.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 9

Healthcare Administrator (Chicago, IL)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I appreciate that I'm still eligible despite this change.
  • However, I understand the frustrations of those who are no longer eligible.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Public Defender (New York, NY)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As my salary increases, I fear losing eligibility just when it's most needed.
  • High-pressure job means student debt relief is crucial and a primary reason I chose public service.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 6
Year 2 4 6
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 7 9
Year 20 8 9

Social Worker (Raleigh, NC)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'll remain eligible, which is a relief considering my career is underpaid relative to my education level.
  • I feel people should not be penalized for public service work.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Firefighter (Austin, TX)

Age: 46 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Good to see we are still covered, though it's close to the cap.
  • Our dual-income family just makes it.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Public Health Official (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This feels like a penalty for working hard over my career to advance into a better paying position.
  • Eligibility loss is unfortunate, but I understand the policy needs focus on those who need it most.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $400000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $500000000)

Year 2: $380000000 (Low: $280000000, High: $480000000)

Year 3: $360000000 (Low: $260000000, High: $460000000)

Year 5: $320000000 (Low: $220000000, High: $420000000)

Year 10: $260000000 (Low: $160000000, High: $360000000)

Year 100: $100000000 (Low: $50000000, High: $150000000)

Key Considerations