Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8091

Bill Overview

Title: FORESTS Act of 2022

Description: This bill directs the Department of Agriculture to designate an area of each national forest for production of material to provide revenue for payments under the Secure Rural Schools and Community Self-Determination Act of 2000.

Sponsors: Rep. McMorris Rodgers, Cathy [R-WA-5]

Target Audience

Population: People involved in or benefiting from timber sales in US national forests

Estimated Size: 5000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Forest Ranger (Eugene, Oregon)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe the policy can provide necessary funding for forest management.
  • Increased revenue can lead to potential improvements in our equipment and maintenance capabilities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

School Principal (Appalachia, West Virginia)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our school needs these funds to maintain operations.
  • Without this support, our resources and student opportunities would dwindle further.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 8 3
Year 10 8 3
Year 20 7 3

Environmental Activist (Boise, Idaho)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about the environmental impact of increased timber sales.
  • There must be a balance to ensure these forests are sustainable for generations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 6 6

Logging Operations Manager (Missoula, Montana)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is a boon for business stability and growth.
  • Consistent policies allow for better planning and employment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 8 4

Retired Forest Service Employee (Denver, Colorado)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's good to see policies supporting sustainable forest usage.
  • However, I hope the focus remains on long-term forest health.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Graduate Student in Environmental Science (Rural Vermont)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This provides an interesting study case on socio-economic and environmental policy impacts.
  • Careful monitoring will be crucial to assess the long-term effects.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Farmer (Northern California)

Age: 40 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Consistent forest management could benefit the local ecosystem.
  • Concerned about potential over-harvesting affecting biodiversity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 4

County Government Employee (Northern Michigan)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Forest-based revenue is a critical component of our county's budget.
  • This policy provides a needed boost, but sustainability is key.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 3

Retired Teacher (Forest Park, Georgia)

Age: 62 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Programs funded through timber sales make a big difference in local educational opportunities.
  • Ensuring continuous benefits is necessary for community growth.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 8 4

Urban Environmental Policy Advisor (Seattle, Washington)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Forest management policies have implications for urban areas as well.
  • Focus on environmental sustainability should remain a priority.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 2: $52000000 (Low: $32000000, High: $72000000)

Year 3: $54000000 (Low: $34000000, High: $74000000)

Year 5: $58000000 (Low: $38000000, High: $78000000)

Year 10: $65000000 (Low: $45000000, High: $85000000)

Year 100: $100000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $120000000)

Key Considerations