Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8069

Bill Overview

Title: Reducing Farm Input Costs and Barriers to Domestic Production Act

Description: This bill addresses various provisions related to the regulation of domestic agricultural products, including by requiring the Department of Agriculture to publish criteria for considering requests from meat and poultry establishments to operate at line speeds in excess of the current regulatory limitations. The bill also nullifies the final rule issued by the Council on Environmental Quality on April 20, 2022, that reinstated various National Environmental Policy Act regulatory provisions.

Sponsors: Rep. Thompson, Glenn [R-PA-15]

Target Audience

Population: individuals globally involved in or affected by agricultural production and environmental policy changes

Estimated Size: 100000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Poultry farm owner (Iowa)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The possibility of increased line speeds could significantly improve my farm's productivity.
  • I'm worried about the environmental impact and how that might affect my community long-term.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Meat processing plant worker (North Carolina)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased line speeds might mean more hours and potentially more accidents at work.
  • Job security could improve if costs for owners go down, which might mean more stability for us.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Environmental lawyer (California)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Rolling back environmental protections is a step backwards for community health and sustainability.
  • While the policy could help reduce costs for some, the long-term environmental costs need to be considered.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 3 6

Agricultural policy analyst (Texas)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policy changes like this can provide great benefits in productivity but need careful monitoring.
  • Potential environmental implications might overshadow short-term economic gains if not managed well.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Retired farmer (Nebraska)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any reduction in barriers is generally a good thing for farmers like I used to be.
  • I worry how changing regulations might affect the next generation of farmers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 4 4

Supermarket manager (Illinois)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If the policy reduces input costs, we might see lower prices for consumers.
  • There could be concerns around food safety if processing speeds increase too much.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Food safety advocate (New York)

Age: 40 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased line speeds could compromise food safety, which is concerning.
  • Policy might help businesses but at what consumer cost?

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 4 6

Agricultural student (Georgia)

Age: 22 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm learning that balancing productivity and the environment is key.
  • This policy seems to focus more on immediate economic benefits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Organic farmer (Kansas)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Reduced regulations may make it harder for organic farmers to compete.
  • I'm concerned about maintaining sustainability in farming practices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 3 4
Year 20 2 4

Environmental scientist (Florida)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The rollback of environmental protections is concerning for ecosystem health.
  • The policy might offer economic benefits but we need to consider the environmental costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 3 6
Year 20 2 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 2: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 3: $260000000 (Low: $210000000, High: $310000000)

Year 5: $270000000 (Low: $220000000, High: $320000000)

Year 10: $300000000 (Low: $250000000, High: $350000000)

Year 100: $350000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $400000000)

Key Considerations