Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8042

Bill Overview

Title: AIR Act

Description: AIR Act This bill directs the Department of Transportation (DOT) to rescind no fly zone restrictions over Disneyworld in Orlando, Florida, and Disneyland in Anaheim, California, imposed under Federal Aviation Administration Notices to Airmen and stop maintaining the restrictions imposed under such notices. DOT may not issue a regulation or Notice to Air Missions to impose a no fly zone over Disneyworld and Disneyland for a period longer than 30 days, with specified exceptions for national security concerns.

Sponsors: Rep. Nehls, Troy E. [R-TX-22]

Target Audience

Population: People in the vicinity of Disneyworld and Disneyland

Estimated Size: 180000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Theme park employee (Orlando, FL)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I enjoy working at Disneyworld, but there's always been some noise.
  • At first, I was worried about more flights overhead, but so far it hasn't been a big deal.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Pilot (Anaheim, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Changes in flight regulations always affect how we plan routes and manage risks.
  • More freedom means less waiting and fewer detours.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Local resident (Anaheim, CA)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Since moving here, plane noise in our neighborhood has been sporadic.
  • I'm worried that more planes flying over could increase the disturbances, especially at night.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 4 5

Frequent park visitor (Orlando, FL)

Age: 31 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I love visiting the park and taking photos.
  • The planes don't bother me, but aesthetically I'm worried about increased air traffic during events.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Retired airline executive (Orlando, FL)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • From an operational perspective, these areas being opened up increases efficiency.
  • Safety needs attention, though I see a potential positive economic impact.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Real estate agent (Orlando, FL)

Age: 54 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Potential increase in noise may affect property values negatively.
  • Conversely, increased traffic might boost economic activity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Tourist visiting Disneyland (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 24 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm excited if this means more flights as it's safer and cheaper longer term.
  • Noise doesn't bother me, and increased flights could mean cheaper or more frequent options.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Theme park engineer (Anaheim, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It might impact our maintenance schedules if more flights are overhead.
  • Safety is a concern, but hopefully the exemptions for security will be in place when required.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Hospital nurse (Orlando, FL)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The noise could impact recovery and working conditions during our peak shifts.
  • However, I understand the benefit for tourism and the local economy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Flight attendant (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Fewer restrictions mean easier route planning and less waiting time.
  • The change could reduce operational stress and commuting delays.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $500000 (Low: $200000, High: $800000)

Year 2: $500000 (Low: $200000, High: $800000)

Year 3: $500000 (Low: $200000, High: $800000)

Year 5: $500000 (Low: $200000, High: $800000)

Year 10: $500000 (Low: $200000, High: $800000)

Year 100: $500000 (Low: $200000, High: $800000)

Key Considerations