Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8028

Bill Overview

Title: Border Construction Materials Transfer Act of 2022

Description: This bill requires the federal government to transfer, without reimbursement, materials purchased for the construction of roadways or barriers along the U.S.-Mexico border and located in the states of Texas, Arizona, New Mexico, or California to the governments of those states.

Sponsors: Rep. Baird, James R. [R-IN-4]

Target Audience

Population: Residents of U.S.-Mexico border states impacted by construction materials transfer

Estimated Size: 45000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Construction Worker (Tucson, Arizona)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm hopeful that the policy will create more construction jobs in Arizona. With the materials being transferred, there might be new projects starting, and I could find more consistent work.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 4
Year 20 8 4

State Government Employee (San Diego, California)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could ease our department's budget constraints, allowing us to focus on essential housing projects rather than constantly scrambling for funds.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 8 5

Border Patrol Agent (Las Cruces, New Mexico)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm cautious about the policy. If materials are misused, it could impact border security, but if used for proper infrastructure, it might enhance our patrol routes and facilities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 5 4

School Teacher (El Paso, Texas)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If the materials are used for community projects like roads or schools, it would have a positive impact on the kids I teach. However, if it's all for roads, we won't see much of a difference.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Retired (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 63 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see potential for the state to use these materials efficiently, benefiting from more robust infrastructure without incurring added costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Business Owner (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any infrastructure improvements that streamline transportation could directly benefit my logistics operations, reducing costs and delays.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 5

University Student (Santa Fe, New Mexico)

Age: 25 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about the environmental impacts of such large infrastructure projects. My hope is that the materials are used sustainably.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 4 4

Contractor (Houston, Texas)

Age: 47 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • A policy like this could mean more state-funded projects, which translates to more work for my company.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Community Organizer (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 36 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned that local communities might not get to decide how the materials are used, despite having potential benefits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 4

Retired teacher (San Antonio, Texas)

Age: 68 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm hopeful the state will use these materials in a way that benefits local communities, but I'm cautious about possible misuse or political maneuvering.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $1500000)

Year 2: $100000 (Low: $50000, High: $150000)

Year 3: $100000 (Low: $50000, High: $150000)

Year 5: $50000 (Low: $25000, High: $75000)

Year 10: $10000 (Low: $5000, High: $15000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations