Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8016

Bill Overview

Title: Federal Columbia River Power System Certainty Act

Description: This bill requires Federal Columbia River Power System (FCRPS) operations to be consistent with a specified decision. The system includes dams in the Columbia and Snake rivers in the Pacific Northwest. Specifically, the Bureau of Reclamation, the Bonneville Power Administration, and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers must operate the FCRPS consistent with the Columbia River System Operations Environmental Impact Statement Record of Decision dated September 2020. The preferred alternative outlined in that decision would allow specified dams in the lower Snake River to remain in place. The decision may be amended if each agency determines that (1) changes are necessary for public safety or electrical grid reliability, or (2) certain requirements in the decision are no longer necessary. Further, the bill requires statutory authorization for any structural modification, action, study, or engineering plan that (1) restricts FCRPS hydroelectric dam generation; or (2) limits navigation on the Snake River in Washington, Oregon, or Idaho.

Sponsors: Rep. Newhouse, Dan [R-WA-4]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals in the Pacific Northwest relying on the Columbia and Snake rivers

Estimated Size: 12000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Hydroelectric Engineer (Portland, Oregon)

Age: 57 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Ensuring the dams remain operational aligns with our goals of reliable power supply.
  • There are concerns about ecological impacts, but our primary focus is stable energy supply.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Farmer (Boise, Idaho)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Maintaining water levels is critical for my crops.
  • Worried about long-term ecological impacts affecting water availability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 7 3
Year 20 7 2

Environmental Advocate (Seattle, Washington)

Age: 63 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy focuses too much on energy over ecological health.
  • It's important to consider the long-term impacts on wildlife.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 4 6

Logistics Coordinator (Spokane, Washington)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Navigation restrictions would severely impact our shipping schedules.
  • The policy helps assure no unforeseen changes to the navigation routes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 9 5
Year 5 9 4
Year 10 9 3
Year 20 8 2

Energy Policy Analyst (Salem, Oregon)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The act provides clarity for energy policy planning.
  • Maintaining current operations could neglect pressing environmental concerns.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Restaurant Owner (Eugene, Oregon)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • River management impacts the fish available for local business.
  • Stable operations bring comfort, but long-term sustainability is vital.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 5 3
Year 3 5 3
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 6 2
Year 20 6 2

Fishery Scientist (Walla Walla, Washington)

Age: 44 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The act could undermine the efforts to restore fish populations.
  • There's a need to prioritize ecological considerations alongside energy needs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 4

Construction Worker (Lewiston, Idaho)

Age: 31 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The stability of dam operations means more consistent work and income.
  • Any operational changes could disrupt job availability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 9 5
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 4
Year 20 8 3

Graduate Student (Richland, Washington)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy provides an interesting case study for balanced governance.
  • However, the uncertainty for ecological impacts remains a concern.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Retired (Yakima, Washington)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Dams could alter fish populations affecting my pastime.
  • Keeping things stable is good but at times affecting fish stocks negatively.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $8000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $10000000)

Year 2: $8000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $10000000)

Year 3: $8000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $10000000)

Year 5: $8000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $10000000)

Year 10: $8000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $10000000)

Year 100: $8000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $10000000)

Key Considerations