Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8006

Bill Overview

Title: Student Loan Accountability Act

Description: This bill generally prohibits the Departments of Education, Justice, or the Treasury from taking any action to cancel or forgive the outstanding balances, or portion of balances, of covered loans. Covered loans refer to Federal Family Education Loans, Federal Direct Loans, Federal Perkins Loans, and loans under the Health Education Assistance Loan Program. The prohibition does not apply to targeted federal student loan forgiveness, cancellation, or repayment programs carried out under the Higher Education Act of 1965. Additionally, the bill repeals the temporary tax-free treatment of discharged student loan debt. It also prohibits tax return information from being shared for the purpose of administering a student loan cancellation plan.

Sponsors: Rep. Ferguson, A. Drew, IV [R-GA-3]

Target Audience

Population: People with federal student loans in the US

Estimated Size: 44000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

College Student (Boston, MA)

Age: 23 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I was hoping some of my loans might be forgiven after I graduated.
  • It's stressful knowing this option might not be available.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 4 7
Year 20 3 7

Software Developer (Austin, TX)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I had anticipated not having tax consequences for my discharged loans.
  • The financial hit from taxes now stresses me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 8
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Public School Teacher (Seattle, WA)

Age: 41 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • PSLF is critical for me, I hope it continues unaffected.
  • I am optimistic but cautious.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Healthcare Professional (Chicago, IL)

Age: 35 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My repayment has been daunting, I hoped for some relief.
  • Honestly, this policy might prolong my financial worries.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 4 6

Corporate Manager (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This doesn't really affect me as I paid off my loans years ago.
  • I do worry about broader economic impacts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Freelancer (Raleigh, NC)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having just consolidated, I was hoping for forgiveness options.
  • This policy definitely changes my repayment strategy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 5 8
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 4 9
Year 20 3 9

Nurse (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm deeply concerned about my children's debt.
  • This policy makes the future more daunting for them.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 5 8
Year 20 5 8

College Student (New York, NY)

Age: 19 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried I will have to deal with these loans for a very long time without the option of forgiveness.
  • College is already stressful, and this adds to it.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 3 6
Year 3 3 7
Year 5 3 7
Year 10 3 8
Year 20 3 8

Small Business Owner (Denver, CO)

Age: 45 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The tax changes put me in a tougher spot than before.
  • Need to find ways to manage, perhaps extending tax planning.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 5 8
Year 20 5 8

Artist (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I feel like my financial future is unsettled with these potential changes.
  • I was counting on some relief down the road.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 5 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 2: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 3: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 5: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 10: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 100: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Key Considerations