Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7958

Bill Overview

Title: No Federal Funds for Ballot Harvesting Act

Description: This bill requires each state, in order to receive federal funds for election administration, to prohibit the knowing collection and transmission of a ballot in a federal election that was mailed to another person (commonly referred to as ballot harvesting), with exceptions.

Sponsors: Rep. Davis, Rodney [R-IL-13]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals participating in electoral processes globally, including voters and election workers, in nations with postal voting systems

Estimated Size: 158000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Retired (Florida)

Age: 79 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried that this policy might make it harder for me to vote. I can't usually get to the polling stations, so I rely on my neighbor to help submit my ballot.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Software Engineer (California)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think it might make mail-in voting slightly less convenient, but if it improves the integrity of the voting process, maybe it's worth it.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Election Official (Texas)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This will increase our workload significantly as we must ensure compliance to continue receiving funding. It's necessary but will require major adjustments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Non-profit Worker (Georgia)

Age: 58 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is a challenge for our efforts to ensure everyone can vote, especially those who can't deliver ballots themselves.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Graduate Student (New York)

Age: 27 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry this could disenfranchise voters who need assistance the most. It could deter participation which we need more of, not less.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Retired Military (Ohio)

Age: 67 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe this policy is crucial for protecting our election integrity. We need to make sure our voting system isn't abused.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Homemaker (Nebraska)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried this policy will make it difficult for us to help community members who can't drive to submit their ballots.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

College Student (Colorado)

Age: 23 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It might make things a bit harder for people like me who don't live at home, but I hope there's some flexibility for students.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

School Teacher (Wisconsin)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Teaching my students the importance of voter access is crucial. This policy seems like a barrier to voting, particularly for vulnerable groups.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Small Business Owner (Nevada)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I usually vote in person, so this policy won't impact me directly. I just hope it doesn't reduce overall voter turnout.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $150000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $200000000)

Year 2: $150000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $200000000)

Year 3: $150000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $200000000)

Year 5: $150000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $200000000)

Year 10: $150000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $200000000)

Year 100: $150000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $200000000)

Key Considerations