Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7906

Bill Overview

Title: To establish a civil action for disqualification under section 3 of the 14th Amendment to the Constitution, and for other purposes.

Description: This bill establishes a civil action through which an individual may be disqualified from holding office under Section 3 of the Fourteenth Amendment of the U.S. Constitution. This includes an individual who has engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the United States or has given aid or comfort to the enemies of the United States.

Sponsors: Rep. Wasserman Schultz, Debbie [D-FL-23]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals who have engaged in insurrection, rebellion, or supported enemies of the U.S.

Estimated Size: 2000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Political Analyst (Washington D.C.)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy seems like an essential measure to maintain the integrity of our democratic institutions.
  • I believe it might not have a significant impact on my personal life but is crucial for national stability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

History Professor (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's imperative to learn from history and prevent individuals with such ideologies from holding power in the U.S.
  • The policy appears necessary but might lead to significant political debates.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Software Developer (Raleigh, NC)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I support the initiative but worry about potential misuse of disqualification against opposing political figures.
  • Keeping office holders accountable is crucial to democracy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Retired Military Officer (Houston, TX)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy upholds the security and democratic values of the U.S.
  • People who have acted against the nation should not be in positions of power.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Civil Rights Lawyer (New York, NY)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could be vital for preventing harmful individuals from gaining power, but it must be applied fairly to avoid targeting dissidents unjustly.
  • Ensuring justice and fairness in implementation will be challenging.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Federal Judge (Chicago, IL)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Enforcing this policy will be complex and require stringent evidence for disqualification.
  • Ensuring clarity in what constitutes aid to enemies is important to prevent abuse.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Media Executive (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While it might not directly affect my industry, the political implications could shift media narratives significantly.
  • It's a delicate balance to ensure media remains unbiased with respect to the proceedings following this policy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Activist (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 26 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Ensuring electoral integrity is paramount, and this policy appears to align with those values.
  • There is potential for the misuse of such legislation against vocal opponents, which must be watched closely.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Political Consultant (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy increases trust in governance by disqualifying those with dangerous intentions.
  • However, due diligence is needed to prevent it as a tool for politically motivated exclusions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 8 7

Retired Politician (Portland, OR)

Age: 63 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Reflecting upon my experiences, such a policy could prevent national security risks but must be weighed against constitutional rights of individuals.
  • This action can greatly influence political landscapes if not handled with caution.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $25000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $40000000)

Year 2: $25250000 (Low: $15150000, High: $40400000)

Year 3: $25502500 (Low: $15301500, High: $40804000)

Year 5: $26012606 (Low: $15607679, High: $41616160)

Year 10: $27374156 (Low: $16453964, High: $43897928)

Year 100: $69257413 (Low: $41647965, High: $111275661)

Key Considerations