Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7905

Bill Overview

Title: Voting Rights Amendment Act of 2022

Description: 2022 This bill establishes new criteria for determining which states and political subdivisions must obtain preclearance before changes to voting practices may take effect. Preclearance is the process of receiving preapproval from the Department of Justice (DOJ) or the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia before making legal changes that would affect voting rights. A state and all of its political subdivisions shall be subject to preclearance of voting practice changes for a 10-year period if 5 or more voting rights violations occurred in the state during the previous 15 years, at least 1 of which was committed by the state itself. A political subdivision as a separate unit shall also be subject to preclearance for a 10-year period if, in the previous 15 years (1) 3 or more voting rights violations occurred there, or (2) 1 or more voting rights violations occurred there and the subdivision had minority voter turnout below certain thresholds. A state or political subdivision that obtains a declaratory judgment that it has not used a voting practice to deny or abridge the right to vote shall be exempt from preclearance. The bill expands the circumstances under which (1) a court may retain the authority to preclear voting changes made by a state or political subdivision, or (2) DOJ may assign election observers. States and political subdivisions must notify the public of changes to voting practices. The bill revises the circumstances under which a court must grant preliminary injunctive relief in a challenge to voting practices.

Sponsors: Rep. Turner, Michael R. [R-OH-10]

Target Audience

Population: People living in the United States

Estimated Size: 330000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

High School Teacher (Mississippi)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As a teacher, I think it's important for our students to understand the value of their vote.
  • Our community has struggled with voting access, and this policy seems like it could provide the oversight needed to protect our rights.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 9 4
Year 10 9 3
Year 20 8 3

Software Engineer (Texas)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having faced barriers myself, I'm hopeful that this policy will ensure fairer processes for our community.
  • I see friends and family frustrated with voting obstacles, so preclearance can only help.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 7 5

Journalist (New York)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy helps ensure transparency, and as a journalist, I'm interested in how it will play out in elections.
  • There’s always room for improving voting fairness, especially in historically marginalized areas.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Retired Factory Worker (Alabama)

Age: 67 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I remember the days when voting was new for us here, and this policy feels like a step back to those protections.
  • It gives me hope for my grandchildren's future voting rights.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 7 4
Year 3 8 4
Year 5 8 3
Year 10 7 3
Year 20 6 2

Activist (California)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This act gives us a tool to challenge injustices we’ve been fighting against.
  • It's a necessary protection in today's political climate.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 5

College Student (Florida)

Age: 23 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's nice to see steps being taken to ensure that voting remains fair for all.
  • As someone who works polls, I think preclearance will help improve trust in the process.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 7 4

Small Business Owner (Ohio)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm not sure if this policy will affect me directly, but I believe everyone should have equal access to vote.
  • It's a positive step towards fairness.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 6

Retired School Principal (North Carolina)

Age: 64 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Long overdue, the policy gives our community some reassurance against unfair voting practices.
  • I hope it lives up to its expectations with proper enforcement.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 9 5
Year 5 9 4
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 7 3

Farmer (Indiana)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Preclearance rules don't seem to impact our area much, but I see their value for cities with more issues.
  • As long as it doesn't complicate voting logistics in our small towns, I support it.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Nurse (Georgia)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Ensuring every voter has a voice is crucial, and this act is focusing on right areas.
  • It's good to know changes will be watched closely, especially with historical patterns of suppression.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 9 4
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 7 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $35000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $50000000)

Year 2: $36000000 (Low: $31000000, High: $52000000)

Year 3: $37000000 (Low: $32000000, High: $54000000)

Year 5: $39000000 (Low: $34000000, High: $56000000)

Year 10: $43000000 (Low: $38000000, High: $60000000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations