Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7904

Bill Overview

Title: Multiple Firearm Sales Reporting Modernization Act of 2022

Description: This bill expands reporting requirements with respect to sales or dispositions of multiple firearms. Currently, a federal firearms licensee (e.g., a gun dealer) must report multiple sales or dispositions of pistols or revolvers to the same person within five business days. This bill requires a federal firearms licensee to report multiple sales or dispositions of any firearms to the same person within five business days.

Sponsors: Rep. Torres, Norma J. [D-CA-35]

Target Audience

Population: Federal firearms licensees and citizens purchasing multiple firearms

Estimated Size: 1000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Firearms Dealer (Texas)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Overall, the new reporting requirement adds significant administrative overhead.
  • I might need to hire additional staff to manage the reporting, impacting my business finances.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 7 7

Law Enforcement Officer (California)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could help trace firearms and support investigations.
  • In the long term, it could improve community safety, which is a priority for me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 8 6

Retired Military (Florida)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I support measures that improve national security but dislike the increased scrutiny.
  • It feels slightly invasive, but if it helps reduce crime, it might be worth it.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 8

University Researcher (New York)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This modernization act could provide valuable data for research and public policy.
  • It's a small step towards better understanding gun sale patterns and their impacts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Rancher (Montana)

Age: 62 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy burdens licensees more than individuals like me who buy firearms responsibly.
  • I don't foresee any real change unless buying multiple firearms becomes more cumbersome.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Gun Collector (Arizona)

Age: 37 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The act might make attending auctions and buying multiple items more complex.
  • It's inconvenient, but for me, the historical collection takes precedence over reporting concerns.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Community Activist (Illinois)

Age: 44 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy's impact on preventing crime isn't straightforward.
  • I hope it leads to better tracking and reduced illegal armament.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Federal Firearms Licensee Operator (Colorado)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could increase my business's costs due to manual reporting and systems upgrade.
  • I'm worried about possible fines if I make a mistake amid increased regulation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Student Hunter (Georgia)

Age: 24 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Unlikely to affect my purchases massively because I don't buy several guns simultaneously.
  • If anything, it pushes me to plan purchases more carefully.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Policy Analyst (Washington)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This act offers an incremental benefit for data transparency.
  • It might facilitate more precise law enforcement responses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $3000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $4000000)

Year 2: $2500000 (Low: $1500000, High: $3500000)

Year 3: $2000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $3000000)

Year 5: $1500000 (Low: $750000, High: $2500000)

Year 10: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $1500000)

Year 100: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $750000)

Key Considerations