Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7890

Bill Overview

Title: Defending Freedom of Conscience for Cadets and Midshipmen Act of 2022

Description: This bill provides that a cadet or midshipman at a federal service academy (e.g., the U.S. Naval Academy) may not be required to be vaccinated for COVID-19 as a condition for graduation and may not be dismissed from the academy as a result of refusing to be vaccinated. Cadets and midshipmen who are prohibited from fulfilling their service agreement due to their refusal to receive a COVID-19 vaccination may not be subjected to repayment provisions (e.g., bonus repayment) or specified debt repayment collections.

Sponsors: Rep. Lamborn, Doug [R-CO-5]

Target Audience

Population: Cadets and midshipmen at federal service academies

Estimated Size: 18000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Cadet at U.S. Naval Academy (Annapolis, MD)

Age: 19 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I appreciate the freedom to make personal health decisions without risking my academic career.
  • There's still tension with peers who disagree with my stance, which affects my overall experience.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Cadet at U.S. Military Academy (West Point, NY)

Age: 21 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy doesn't affect me directly because I decided on my own terms to get vaccinated.
  • It seems to bring closure for those who had issues with the previous mandates.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Cadet at U.S. Air Force Academy (Colorado Springs, CO)

Age: 22 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is a relief because I can continue my education without fear of dismissal.
  • I'm still concerned about future employment restrictions due to my vaccination status.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Parent of cadet (Arlington, VA)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm thankful for the policy as it safeguards my daughter's education.
  • I worry about the social impact this might have within her peer group.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Academy administrator (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 35 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While I understand the need for freedom of choice, I worry about health implications and logistics.
  • The shift in policy is an administrative challenge but manageable.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Graduate and officer from Air Force Academy (Denver, CO)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I feel neutral about the policy since I complied with requirements and it didn't hinder me.
  • Concerned about potential future policy changes and their impacts on readiness.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Public health expert (Chicago, IL)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy might undermine public health efforts by setting a precedent of leniency.
  • It's crucial that it doesn't stall broader vaccination progress in other areas.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

Public commentator (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy appears to respect individual rights but might conflict with unit cohesion values.
  • It's important to ensure these choices don't affect operational readiness.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Prospective cadet applicant (Annapolis, MD)

Age: 18 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy makes me more comfortable applying, knowing my choice will be respected.
  • I'm still weighing all considerations, including health.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 7
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Military retiree (Seattle, WA)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I understand the need for freedom of choice but it's critical this doesn't hurt military effectiveness.
  • It's good to have clear guidelines so cadets can make informed decisions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $2000000)

Year 2: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $2000000)

Year 3: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $2000000)

Year 5: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $2000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations