Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7874

Bill Overview

Title: SSBCI Improvement Act

Description: This bill modifies how funds are transferred to (and recouped from) states under the State Small Business Credit Initiative. For example, if a state's allocated amount is less than or equal to $1,000,000 the Department of the Treasury must provide the full amount in a single transfer.

Sponsors: Rep. Phillips, Dean [D-MN-3]

Target Audience

Population: Small business owners benefiting from state credit initiatives

Estimated Size: 33000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Owner of a small tech startup (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think this policy could be really beneficial for us; we've been waiting for something like this to take off.
  • Access to credit is crucial for our expansion plans, but I'm wary about whether our state will prioritize this appropriately.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 6

Owner of a retail store (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We’ve been holding out for some support after COVID-19 impacted us big time, so more accessible funds would be great.
  • However, I’m still not sure if this will be enough considering the cost of doing business here.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Owner of a manufacturing business (Topeka, KS)

Age: 50 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might help us access more competitive rates relatively.
  • Our state's past allocation decisions have generally favored agriculture, though.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 7

Freelancer/Consultant (Austin, TX)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While this doesn't directly affect me, better-supported businesses might mean more contracts.
  • It’s nice to know these options are available if I decide to start my own firm.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 6

Owner of an art gallery (Detroit, MI)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 1/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I really hope this means improved access to financing, which we desperately need.
  • Detroit's initiatives already support art, so this could mean reinforcement.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 5

Restaurant owner (Raleigh, NC)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We've been investing a lot recently, and this credit could support us further.
  • I have reservations about how quickly these funds will be available.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 6

Owner of a cleaning service (Chicago, IL)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy seems promising, especially in a competitive market like ours.
  • I am cautiously optimistic as it could help us expand into new neighborhoods.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 7

Technology consultant (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 39 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I like seeing support for businesses but I'm not sure how impactful this will be long-term without better infrastructure.
  • My previous venture couldn't survive even with available credits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 5

Co-owner of a craft brewery (Seattle, WA)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 1/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Expanding distribution would be much easier with additional financial backing.
  • While helpful, this won’t make or break our plans – we’re pretty solid otherwise.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 10 9
Year 20 9 8

Owner of a cattle ranch (Laramie, WY)

Age: 53 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 1/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • With this policy, we might upgrade our logistics, which has long been overdue.
  • However, agri-businesses don’t always get priority in these allocations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 2: $51000000 (Low: $31000000, High: $71000000)

Year 3: $52000000 (Low: $32000000, High: $72000000)

Year 5: $54000000 (Low: $34000000, High: $74000000)

Year 10: $58000000 (Low: $38000000, High: $78000000)

Year 100: $80000000 (Low: $58000000, High: $95000000)

Key Considerations