Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7871

Bill Overview

Title: People Over Petroleum Act

Description: This bill repeals or limits certain fossil fuel subsidies for large oil companies. It also allows individual taxpayers a 2022 gas prices rebate for the first taxable year beginning in 2022. The bill defines 2022 gas prices rebate as the sum of $500 ($1,000 for joint returns), plus $500 times the number of taxpayer dependents who had attained the age of 16 as of the end of the taxable year. The bill allows advance payments of the rebate and requires taxpayers to provide a Social Security account number on their tax returns.

Sponsors: Rep. McEachin, A. Donald [D-VA-4]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals impacted by fossil fuel subsidy reforms and eligible U.S. taxpayers

Estimated Size: 160000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Oil Industry Engineer (Houston, TX)

Age: 36 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The repeal of fossil fuel subsidies might impact my job security as the company might cut costs.
  • The rebate doesn't apply much to me as my kids are under 16, but any additional income would be helpful.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 7 7

Small Business Owner (Bismarck, ND)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Reduction in subsidies could lead to more stable pricing in the long-term, which is good for planning.
  • The rebate helps offset some of the personal financial strains experienced recently.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Software Developer (Seattle, WA)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't see a direct impact on me as much as on families with dependents.
  • I support reducing subsidies on fossil fuels as it aligns with my values.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Teacher (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 43 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The extra funds from the rebate help manage the budget, especially with a teenage driver in the household.
  • I'm in favor of reducing dependency on fossil fuels.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Retired (Orlando, FL)

Age: 65 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I won't directly benefit from the tax rebate as I don't have dependents.
  • I worry about the impact on the economy affecting my retirement funds.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Freelance Writer (New York, NY)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The rebate provides a welcome financial cushion amidst rising living costs.
  • The environmental impact of the policy feels like a positive shift.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Accountant (Chicago, IL)

Age: 47 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The rebate allows us to afford better utilities and education for the children.
  • Concerned about long-term economic changes affecting job demand.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Nurse (Des Moines, IA)

Age: 62 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any reduction in subsidies might raise fuel prices which affects commuting cost.
  • I don't have dependents, so the rebate isn't applicable to me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 6 6

Environmental Scientist (Denver, CO)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Happy about the potential environmental benefits over time.
  • The rebate is a nice bonus that can support community initiatives I'm involved with.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Public Transport Worker (Portland, OR)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The rebate eases some financial pressure given the size of our household.
  • I'm supportive of policies pushing towards greener energy sources.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $150000000000 (Low: $140000000000, High: $160000000000)

Year 2: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations