Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7861

Bill Overview

Title: Plastic Pellet Free Waters Act

Description: This bill requires the Environmental Protection Agency to issue a final rule that prohibits certain discharges of plastic pellets and other preproduction plastic into waters of the United States.

Sponsors: Rep. Lowenthal, Alan S. [D-CA-47]

Target Audience

Population: People who rely on clean water and ecosystem services

Estimated Size: 330000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Plastic Factory Manager (Houston, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy will increase running costs initially as we upgrade our systems.
  • In the long run, cleaner practices mean more efficient operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Marine Biologist (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a critical policy for ocean health.
  • Reductions in microplastics will have positive long-term impacts on biodiversity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 10 8

Elementary School Teacher (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Cleaner water benefits everyone, especially in educational contexts.
  • It's a relief to know students can learn in healthier natural environments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 9 7

Fisherman (Chesapeake Bay, MD)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Cleaner waters mean better catches which are vital for my livelihood.
  • I hope this policy will be enforced effectively.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 9 6

Environmental Activist (Seattle, WA)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 1/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is what we’ve been fighting for!
  • A monumental shift towards sustainable practices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 10 7
Year 20 10 7

College Student (Miami, FL)

Age: 19 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Hoping this policy creates a safer marine environment for future studies.
  • Positive step towards tackling pollution at its source.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 10 8

Financial Analyst (New York, NY)

Age: 41 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy can open up new areas for green investment.
  • Long term gains outweigh short-term adaptation costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 9 7

Public Health Researcher (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 37 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Reduction in pollutants will have lasting benefits on public health.
  • This aligns perfectly with ongoing efforts to improve water quality.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Chemical Engineer (Baton Rouge, LA)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • A necessary challenge for our industry, but one I embrace.
  • Sustainable practices should be a goal regardless of regulation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Urban Planner (Chicago, IL)

Age: 54 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Clean waterways are essential for urban ecosystems.
  • This policy will ensure long-term ecological sustainability in cities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $100000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $120000000)

Year 2: $50000000 (Low: $40000000, High: $60000000)

Year 3: $30000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $40000000)

Year 5: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 10: $10000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $15000000)

Year 100: $5000000 (Low: $0, High: $10000000)

Key Considerations